Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 21:30 • Estadio Mariano Matamoros
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.60 (league 1.52) 0.77 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
25.4% 38.5% 36.0%
best score tips
0 - 0
25.4%
0 - 1
19.6%
1 - 0
15.2%
Score & goals probability table
Atletico Hidalgo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Zacatepec 1948 0 25.4% 19.6% 7.6% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1%
1 15.2% 11.7% 4.5% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 4.5% 3.5% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.9% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricZacatepec 1948Atletico Hidalgo
Played55
Form60%27%
Attack75%100%
Defense75%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.29 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.412 | 2.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

59%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Zacatepec 1948 Atletico Hidalgo
HATHAT
Played336336
Wins33%67%50%0%33%17%
Draws0%0%0%33%33%33%
Loses67%33%50%67%33%50%

Form: Zacatepec 1948: LWLWWL • Atletico Hidalgo: DLLDWL

League goals

Metric Zacatepec 1948 Atletico Hidalgo
HATHAT
GF total246549
GF avg0.71.31.01.71.31.5
GA total2138412
GA avg0.70.30.52.71.32.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineZacatepec 1948Atletico Hidalgo
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%50%83%83%
1.533%0%33%67%
2.517%0%33%33%
3.50%0%0%17%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricZacatepec 1948Atletico Hidalgo
HATHAT
Clean sheets123011
Failed to score213011

Penalties

MetricZacatepec 1948Atletico Hidalgo
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricZacatepec 1948Atletico Hidalgo
Wins21
Draws01
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-3—2-3
Biggest losses0-11-01-32-1
Goals For2333
Goals Against1142

Model comparison

MetricZacatepec 1948Atletico Hidalgo
Form69%31%
Att40%60%
Def86%14%
Poisson Distribution43%57%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total59.5%40.5%

Advice: Double chance : Zacatepec 1948 or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.73 @ Unibet
Draw4.00 @ Bet365
Away6.50 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.85 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.95 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.83 @ Superbet
No1.88 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Zacatepec 1948 = 0.60 (league 1.52), Atletico Hidalgo = 0.77 (league 1.18)

Atletico Hidalgo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Zacatepec 1948 0 25.4% 19.6% 7.6% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1%
1 15.2% 11.7% 4.5% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 4.5% 3.5% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.9% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 25.4% · Draw 38.5% · Away win 36.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1