Fri, Oct 3 2025 • 16:00 • Bolt Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.66 (league 1.66) 1.55 (league 1.65)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
59.7% 12.0% 11.4%
best score tips
3 - 1
6.9%
4 - 1
6.3%
2 - 1
5.7%
Score & goals probability table
Gnistan
0 1 2 3 4 5
HJK helsinki 0 0.5% 0.8% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 2.0% 3.1% 2.4% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1%
2 3.7% 5.7% 4.4% 2.3% 0.9% 0.3%
3 4.5% 6.9% 5.4% 2.8% 1.1% 0.3%
4 4.1% 6.3% 4.9% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3%
5 3.0% 4.6% 3.6% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHJK helsinkiGnistan
Played55
Form60%20%
Attack94%33%
Defense56%28%
Goals For (tot | avg)17 | 3.46 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.613 | 2.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

78%
FT probability

3.5+

55%
FT probability

BTTS

78%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric HJK helsinki Gnistan
HATHAT
Played121325131225
Wins58%54%56%31%25%28%
Draws17%23%20%23%33%28%
Loses25%23%24%46%42%44%

Form: HJK helsinki: LLLWDWWWWDWWLLWWWLWWWWDDD • Gnistan: LLWLWWDDLWDDLDWLLDWDWLLLL

League goals

Metric HJK helsinki Gnistan
HATHAT
GF total352964171936
GF avg2.92.22.61.31.61.4
GA total191534232548
GA avg1.61.21.41.82.11.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHJK helsinkiGnistan
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%76%72%76%
1.572%36%52%68%
2.552%20%12%28%
3.532%4%4%12%
4.58%0%4%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHJK helsinkiGnistan
HATHAT
Clean sheets156336
Failed to score235437

Penalties

MetricHJK helsinkiGnistan
Scored (total | %)7 | 87.50%4 | 80.00%
Missed (total | %)1 | 12.50%1 | 20.00%
Total85

Streaks

MetricHJK helsinkiGnistan
Wins42
Draws12
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins8-20-42-02-5
Biggest losses1-43-00-46-2
Goals For8435
Goals Against4346

Model comparison

MetricHJK helsinkiGnistan
Form75%25%
Att74%26%
Def62%38%
Poisson Distribution71%29%
H2h60%40%
Goals69%31%
Total68.5%31.5%

Advice: Combo Winner : HJK helsinki and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.37 @ Betano
Draw5.85 @ Pinnacle
Away7.78 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.37 @ Betano
Under 2.53.40 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.63 @ 188Bet
No2.39 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): HJK helsinki = 3.66 (league 1.66), Gnistan = 1.55 (league 1.65)

Gnistan
0 1 2 3 4 5
HJK helsinki 0 0.5% 0.8% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 2.0% 3.1% 2.4% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1%
2 3.7% 5.7% 4.4% 2.3% 0.9% 0.3%
3 4.5% 6.9% 5.4% 2.8% 1.1% 0.3%
4 4.1% 6.3% 4.9% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3%
5 3.0% 4.6% 3.6% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 59.7% · Draw 12.0% · Away win 11.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1