Esiliiga A — Estonia
Fri, Oct 3 2025 • 16:30 • Raadi Roheline Jalgpallipark
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.75 (league 2.04) 1.43 (league 1.77)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
19.6% 27.1% 52.9%
best score tips
0 - 1
16.2%
1 - 1
12.1%
0 - 2
11.6%
Score & goals probability table
Viimsi
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tartu Welco 0 11.4% 16.2% 11.6% 5.5% 2.0% 0.6%
1 8.5% 12.1% 8.7% 4.1% 1.5% 0.4%
2 3.2% 4.5% 3.2% 1.5% 0.5% 0.2%
3 0.8% 1.1% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTartu WelcoViimsi
Played55
Form20%47%
Attack60%100%
Defense0%70%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.212 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 23 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

89%
FT probability

2.5+

62%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Tartu Welco Viimsi
HATHAT
Played151530151530
Wins47%53%50%73%53%63%
Draws27%20%23%27%13%20%
Loses27%27%27%0%33%17%

Form: Tartu Welco: WDLWWDWWWWDWDWLLWWWLLWWLWLDLDD • Viimsi: DWLWWWDLWWWWWWWLDWWWWDDWWLWWDL

League goals

Metric Tartu Welco Viimsi
HATHAT
GF total283361392766
GF avg1.92.22.02.61.82.2
GA total212344111223
GA avg1.41.51.50.70.80.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTartu WelcoViimsi
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.593%70%83%50%
1.560%40%60%20%
2.537%23%40%7%
3.510%7%23%0%
4.53%7%10%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTartu WelcoViimsi
HATHAT
Clean sheets4597815
Failed to score202055

Penalties

MetricTartu WelcoViimsi
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%6 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total46

Streaks

MetricTartu WelcoViimsi
Wins47
Draws12
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-56-00-5
Biggest losses2-55-2—3-1
Goals For4565
Goals Against5533

Model comparison

MetricTartu WelcoViimsi
Form30%70%
Att33%67%
Def23%77%
Poisson Distribution34%66%
H2h29%71%
Goals44%56%
Total32.2%67.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Viimsi

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.25 @ Betfair
Draw3.65 @ Superbet
Away2.02 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.62 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.25 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.56 @ Superbet
No2.42 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Tartu Welco = 0.75 (league 2.04), Viimsi = 1.43 (league 1.77)

Viimsi
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tartu Welco 0 11.4% 16.2% 11.6% 5.5% 2.0% 0.6%
1 8.5% 12.1% 8.7% 4.1% 1.5% 0.4%
2 3.2% 4.5% 3.2% 1.5% 0.5% 0.2%
3 0.8% 1.1% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 19.6% · Draw 27.1% · Away win 52.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1