Iraqi League — Iraq
Fri, Oct 3 2025 • 17:30 • Franso Hariri Stadium
Match Finished
2 - 1
Expected Goals
0.70 (league 1.28) 1.88 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
13.2% 21.4% 64.1%
best score tips
0 - 1
14.2%
0 - 2
13.4%
1 - 1
10.0%
Score & goals probability table
Al-Karma
0 1 2 3 4 5
Erbil 0 7.6% 14.2% 13.4% 8.4% 3.9% 1.5%
1 5.3% 10.0% 9.4% 5.9% 2.8% 1.0%
2 1.9% 3.5% 3.3% 2.1% 1.0% 0.4%
3 0.4% 0.8% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricErbilAl-Karma
Played33
Form78%78%
Attack67%33%
Defense67%89%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 23 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 11 | 0.3

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Erbil Al-Karma
HATHAT
Played123213
Wins100%50%67%50%100%67%
Draws0%50%33%50%0%33%
Loses0%0%0%0%0%0%

Form: Erbil: WWD • Al-Karma: WWD

League goals

Metric Erbil Al-Karma
HATHAT
GF total336213
GF avg3.01.52.01.01.01.0
GA total213101
GA avg2.00.51.00.50.00.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineErbilAl-Karma
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%67%67%33%
1.567%33%33%0%
2.567%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricErbilAl-Karma
HATHAT
Clean sheets011112
Failed to score011101

Penalties

MetricErbilAl-Karma
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricErbilAl-Karma
Wins22
Draws00
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-21-32-10-1
Biggest losses————
Goals For3321
Goals Against2110

Model comparison

MetricErbilAl-Karma
Form50%50%
Att67%33%
Def25%75%
Poisson Distribution0%100%
H2h20%80%
Goals33%67%
Total39.0%61.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Al-Karma and -3.5 goals

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.92 @ 1xBet
Draw3.20 @ Bet365
Away2.37 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.15 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.67 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.83 @ Marathonbet
No1.95 @ Superbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Erbil = 0.70 (league 1.28), Al-Karma = 1.88 (league 1.06)

Al-Karma
0 1 2 3 4 5
Erbil 0 7.6% 14.2% 13.4% 8.4% 3.9% 1.5%
1 5.3% 10.0% 9.4% 5.9% 2.8% 1.0%
2 1.9% 3.5% 3.3% 2.1% 1.0% 0.4%
3 0.4% 0.8% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 13.2% · Draw 21.4% · Away win 64.1%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1