Fri, Oct 3 2025 • 18:00 • De Vliert
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.48 (league 1.82) 2.74 (league 1.32)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
32.8% 17.7% 39.7%
best score tips
2 - 2
6.3%
2 - 3
5.7%
3 - 2
5.2%
Score & goals probability table
Waalwijk
0 1 2 3 4 5
Den Bosch 0 0.5% 1.5% 2.0% 1.9% 1.3% 0.7%
1 1.3% 3.7% 5.0% 4.6% 3.1% 1.7%
2 1.7% 4.6% 6.3% 5.7% 3.9% 2.1%
3 1.4% 3.8% 5.2% 4.7% 3.2% 1.8%
4 0.9% 2.3% 3.2% 2.9% 2.0% 1.1%
5 0.4% 1.2% 1.6% 1.4% 1.0% 0.5%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricDen BoschWaalwijk
Played55
Form47%47%
Attack83%67%
Defense8%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 28 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.28 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

78%
FT probability

3.5+

55%
FT probability

BTTS

81%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Den Bosch Waalwijk
HATHAT
Played448549
Wins50%50%50%40%50%44%
Draws25%0%13%40%0%22%
Loses25%50%38%20%50%33%

Form: Den Bosch: WWLDWLLW • Waalwijk: WDLWLDWLW

League goals

Metric Den Bosch Waalwijk
HATHAT
GF total126187714
GF avg3.01.52.31.41.81.6
GA total88166612
GA avg2.02.02.01.21.51.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineDen BoschWaalwijk
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.588%75%78%89%
1.563%75%44%33%
2.538%50%22%11%
3.525%0%11%0%
4.513%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricDen BoschWaalwijk
HATHAT
Clean sheets112101
Failed to score011022

Penalties

MetricDen BoschWaalwijk
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricDen BoschWaalwijk
Wins21
Draws11
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-22-42-01-4
Biggest losses2-33-01-32-0
Goals For5424
Goals Against3332

Model comparison

MetricDen BoschWaalwijk
Form50%50%
Att56%44%
Def42%58%
Poisson Distribution50%50%
H2h38%62%
Goals47%53%
Total47.2%52.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Waalwijk and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.35 @ 10Bet
Draw4.00 @ Bet365
Away2.84 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.57 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.48 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.50 @ Bet365
No2.64 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Den Bosch = 2.48 (league 1.82), Waalwijk = 2.74 (league 1.32)

Waalwijk
0 1 2 3 4 5
Den Bosch 0 0.5% 1.5% 2.0% 1.9% 1.3% 0.7%
1 1.3% 3.7% 5.0% 4.6% 3.1% 1.7%
2 1.7% 4.6% 6.3% 5.7% 3.9% 2.1%
3 1.4% 3.8% 5.2% 4.7% 3.2% 1.8%
4 0.9% 2.3% 3.2% 2.9% 2.0% 1.1%
5 0.4% 1.2% 1.6% 1.4% 1.0% 0.5%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 32.8% · Draw 17.7% · Away win 39.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1