Fri, Oct 3 2025 • 18:30 • Leigh Sports Village
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.57 (league 1.76) 0.72 (league 1.47)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
25.4% 40.1% 34.4%
best score tips
0 - 0
27.7%
0 - 1
19.8%
1 - 0
15.8%
Score & goals probability table
Chelsea W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Manchester United W 0 27.7% 19.8% 7.1% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0%
1 15.8% 11.3% 4.0% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 4.5% 3.2% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.9% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricManchester United WChelsea W
Played44
Form83%100%
Attack73%67%
Defense93%87%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.810 | 2.5
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 0.32 | 0.5

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

0.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

86%
FT probability

2.5+

61%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

57%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Manchester United W Chelsea W
HATHAT
Played224224
Wins50%100%75%100%100%100%
Draws50%0%25%0%0%0%
Loses0%0%0%0%0%0%

Form: Manchester United W: WWDW • Chelsea W: WWWW

League goals

Metric Manchester United W Chelsea W
HATHAT
GF total47113710
GF avg2.03.52.81.53.52.5
GA total011112
GA avg0.00.50.30.50.50.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineManchester United WChelsea W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%25%100%50%
1.575%0%75%0%
2.550%0%50%0%
3.550%0%25%0%
4.525%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricManchester United WChelsea W
HATHAT
Clean sheets213112
Failed to score101000

Penalties

MetricManchester United WChelsea W
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricManchester United WChelsea W
Wins24
Draws10
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-52-10-4
Biggest losses
Goals For4524
Goals Against0111

Model comparison

MetricManchester United WChelsea W
Form45%55%
Att52%48%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h20%80%
Goals14%86%
Total39.6%60.4%

Advice: Double chance : Manchester United W or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.25 @ Betfair
Draw3.80 @ Bet365
Away2.18 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.73 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.20 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.64 @ Pinnacle
No2.38 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Manchester United W = 0.57 (league 1.76), Chelsea W = 0.72 (league 1.47)

Chelsea W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Manchester United W 0 27.7% 19.8% 7.1% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0%
1 15.8% 11.3% 4.0% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 4.5% 3.2% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.9% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 25.4% · Draw 40.1% · Away win 34.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1