Wed, Oct 1 2025 • 17:00 • Stadion an der Hafenstrasse
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.50 (league 1.56) 2.63 (league 1.38)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
20.0% 17.7% 56.7%
best score tips
1 - 2
8.3%
1 - 3
7.3%
1 - 1
6.3%
Score & goals probability table
Hoffenheim II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Rot-Weiß Essen 0 1.6% 4.2% 5.6% 4.9% 3.2% 1.7%
1 2.4% 6.3% 8.3% 7.3% 4.8% 2.5%
2 1.8% 4.7% 6.2% 5.5% 3.6% 1.9%
3 0.9% 2.4% 3.1% 2.7% 1.8% 0.9%
4 0.3% 0.9% 1.2% 1.0% 0.7% 0.4%
5 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricRot-Weiß EssenHoffenheim II
Played55
Form47%47%
Attack100%100%
Defense0%20%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 210 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.28 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

75%
FT probability

3.5+

53%
FT probability

BTTS

85%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Rot-Weiß Essen Hoffenheim II
HATHAT
Played448448
Wins25%50%38%25%75%50%
Draws50%25%38%50%0%25%
Loses25%25%25%25%25%25%

Form: Rot-Weiß Essen: DDWLWDWL • Hoffenheim II: DWWWLLWD

League goals

Metric Rot-Weiß Essen Hoffenheim II
HATHAT
GF total791671118
GF avg1.82.32.01.82.82.3
GA total511166511
GA avg1.32.82.01.51.31.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineRot-Weiß EssenHoffenheim II
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%88%88%75%
1.550%38%50%38%
2.538%38%38%13%
3.513%13%38%13%
4.50%13%13%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricRot-Weiß EssenHoffenheim II
HATHAT
Clean sheets101112
Failed to score000101

Penalties

MetricRot-Weiß EssenHoffenheim II
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricRot-Weiß EssenHoffenheim II
Wins13
Draws21
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-34-11-5
Biggest losses2-36-12-42-1
Goals For3445
Goals Against3642

Model comparison

MetricRot-Weiß EssenHoffenheim II
Form50%50%
Att50%50%
Def42%58%
Poisson Distribution37%63%
H2h20%80%
Goals17%83%
Total36.0%64.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Hoffenheim II and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.20 @ 10Bet
Draw4.10 @ Bet365
Away3.40 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.60 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.40 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.56 @ Pinnacle
No2.55 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Rot-Weiß Essen = 1.50 (league 1.56), Hoffenheim II = 2.63 (league 1.38)

Hoffenheim II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Rot-Weiß Essen 0 1.6% 4.2% 5.6% 4.9% 3.2% 1.7%
1 2.4% 6.3% 8.3% 7.3% 4.8% 2.5%
2 1.8% 4.7% 6.2% 5.5% 3.6% 1.9%
3 0.9% 2.4% 3.1% 2.7% 1.8% 0.9%
4 0.3% 0.9% 1.2% 1.0% 0.7% 0.4%
5 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 20.0% · Draw 17.7% · Away win 56.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1