Tue, Sep 30 2025 • 00:10 • Francisco Boga Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.47 (league 1.11) 0.56 (league 0.85)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
24.0% 45.7% 30.4%
best score tips
0 - 0
35.7%
0 - 1
20.1%
1 - 0
16.7%
Score & goals probability table
Midland
0 1 2 3 4 5
San Martín Burzaco 0 35.7% 20.1% 5.7% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0%
1 16.7% 9.4% 2.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 3.9% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSan Martín BurzacoMidland
Played55
Form47%53%
Attack80%50%
Defense40%80%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.65 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.22 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

49%
FT probability

2.5+

34%
FT probability

3.5+

24%
FT probability

BTTS

51%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric San Martín Burzaco Midland
HATHAT
Played161733171633
Wins50%12%30%76%38%58%
Draws38%35%36%12%50%30%
Loses13%53%33%12%13%12%

Form: San Martín Burzaco: DDWLDWWDWLLWLLDLDLWLDDDDLWDWLWDWL • Midland: DWWLDWWWWDDDDWLWWWDWWDWWWLWWLDWDW

League goals

Metric San Martín Burzaco Midland
HATHAT
GF total211435291241
GF avg1.30.81.11.70.81.2
GA total928375611
GA avg0.61.61.10.30.40.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSan Martín BurzacoMidland
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.570%67%64%33%
1.524%30%52%0%
2.59%6%9%0%
3.53%6%0%0%
4.50%3%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSan Martín BurzacoMidland
HATHAT
Clean sheets9211121022
Failed to score46104812

Penalties

MetricSan Martín BurzacoMidland
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total24

Streaks

MetricSan Martín BurzacoMidland
Wins24
Draws44
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-23-00-2
Biggest losses1-25-00-11-0
Goals For4232
Goals Against2511

Model comparison

MetricSan Martín BurzacoMidland
Form47%53%
Att62%38%
Def25%75%
Poisson Distribution46%54%
H2h29%71%
Goals33%67%
Total40.3%59.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Midland and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.06 @ Pinnacle
Draw2.85 @ Unibet
Away2.62 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.53.60 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.42 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.75 @ Bet365
No1.58 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): San Martín Burzaco = 0.47 (league 1.11), Midland = 0.56 (league 0.85)

Midland
0 1 2 3 4 5
San Martín Burzaco 0 35.7% 20.1% 5.7% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0%
1 16.7% 9.4% 2.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 3.9% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 24.0% · Draw 45.7% · Away win 30.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1