Tue, Sep 30 2025 • 16:45 • Ortalyq stadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.86 (league 1.75) 1.39 (league 1.30)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
23.3% 27.5% 48.9%
best score tips
0 - 1
14.7%
1 - 1
12.6%
0 - 0
10.6%
Score & goals probability table
Real Madrid
0 1 2 3 4 5
Kairat Almaty 0 10.6% 14.7% 10.2% 4.7% 1.6% 0.5%
1 9.1% 12.6% 8.7% 4.0% 1.4% 0.4%
2 3.9% 5.4% 3.8% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2%
3 1.1% 1.6% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricKairat AlmatyReal Madrid
Played51
Form33%100%
Attack10%10%
Defense75%95%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.42 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 11 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

45%
FT probability

2.5+

32%
FT probability

3.5+

23%
FT probability

BTTS

59%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Kairat Almaty Real Madrid
HATHAT
Played459101
Wins75%0%33%100%—100%
Draws25%40%33%0%—0%
Loses0%60%33%0%—0%

Form: Kairat Almaty: DWLWWLDDL • Real Madrid: W

League goals

Metric Kairat Almaty Real Madrid
HATHAT
GF total628202
GF avg1.50.40.92.00.02.0
GA total088101
GA avg0.01.60.91.00.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineKairat AlmatyReal Madrid
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.556%44%100%100%
1.522%22%100%0%
2.511%11%0%0%
3.50%11%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricKairat AlmatyReal Madrid
HATHAT
Clean sheets415000
Failed to score134000

Penalties

MetricKairat AlmatyReal Madrid
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricKairat AlmatyReal Madrid
Wins21
Draws20
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-0—2-1—
Biggest losses—4-1——
Goals For3120
Goals Against0410

Model comparison

MetricKairat AlmatyReal Madrid
Form63%38%
Att50%50%
Def17%83%
Poisson Distribution0%0%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total43.3%57.0%

Advice: Double chance : Kairat Almaty or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home34.00 @ Betfair
Draw14.00 @ Pinnacle
Away1.10 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.30 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.54.00 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.27 @ Pinnacle
No1.73 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Kairat Almaty = 0.86 (league 1.75), Real Madrid = 1.39 (league 1.30)

Real Madrid
0 1 2 3 4 5
Kairat Almaty 0 10.6% 14.7% 10.2% 4.7% 1.6% 0.5%
1 9.1% 12.6% 8.7% 4.0% 1.4% 0.4%
2 3.9% 5.4% 3.8% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2%
3 1.1% 1.6% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 23.3% · Draw 27.5% · Away win 48.9%

Vtot 3 , Vtod1