Tue, Sep 30 2025 • 17:00 • Waldstadion Homburg
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.78 (league 1.87) 1.48 (league 1.62)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
58.3% 16.8% 18.2%
best score tips
2 - 1
8.1%
3 - 1
7.5%
2 - 2
6.0%
Score & goals probability table
Schott Mainz
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC 08 Homburg 0 1.4% 2.1% 1.6% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
1 3.9% 5.8% 4.3% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2%
2 5.4% 8.1% 6.0% 3.0% 1.1% 0.3%
3 5.0% 7.5% 5.5% 2.7% 1.0% 0.3%
4 3.5% 5.2% 3.8% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2%
5 1.9% 2.9% 2.1% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFC 08 HomburgSchott Mainz
Played55
Form27%13%
Attack41%47%
Defense47%24%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.48 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.813 | 2.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

82%
FT probability

3.5+

58%
FT probability

BTTS

87%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric FC 08 Homburg Schott Mainz
HATHAT
Played549459
Wins20%25%22%0%20%11%
Draws60%50%56%0%40%22%
Loses20%25%22%100%40%67%

Form: FC 08 Homburg: DLWWLDDDD • Schott Mainz: WLLLDDLLL

League goals

Metric FC 08 Homburg Schott Mainz
HATHAT
GF total10112151015
GF avg2.02.82.31.32.01.7
GA total61016111324
GA avg1.22.51.82.82.62.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFC 08 HomburgSchott Mainz
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%89%89%89%
1.556%44%44%89%
2.533%22%22%56%
3.522%11%11%33%
4.511%11%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFC 08 HomburgSchott Mainz
HATHAT
Clean sheets101011
Failed to score000011

Penalties

MetricFC 08 HomburgSchott Mainz
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricFC 08 HomburgSchott Mainz
Wins21
Draws12
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-01-4—0-4
Biggest losses1-35-32-44-0
Goals For6424
Goals Against3544

Model comparison

MetricFC 08 HomburgSchott Mainz
Form67%33%
Att47%53%
Def59%41%
Poisson Distribution65%35%
H2h93%7%
Goals71%29%
Total67.0%33.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : FC 08 Homburg or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): FC 08 Homburg = 2.78 (league 1.87), Schott Mainz = 1.48 (league 1.62)

Schott Mainz
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC 08 Homburg 0 1.4% 2.1% 1.6% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
1 3.9% 5.8% 4.3% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2%
2 5.4% 8.1% 6.0% 3.0% 1.1% 0.3%
3 5.0% 7.5% 5.5% 2.7% 1.0% 0.3%
4 3.5% 5.2% 3.8% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2%
5 1.9% 2.9% 2.1% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 58.3% · Draw 16.8% · Away win 18.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1