Serie B — Italy
Tue, Sep 30 2025 • 18:30 • Stadio Euganeo
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.40 (league 1.43) 1.52 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
34.8% 24.6% 39.8%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.5%
1 - 2
8.7%
0 - 1
8.2%
Score & goals probability table
Avellino
0 1 2 3 4 5
Padova 0 5.4% 8.2% 6.2% 3.1% 1.2% 0.4%
1 7.6% 11.5% 8.7% 4.4% 1.7% 0.5%
2 5.3% 8.1% 6.1% 3.1% 1.2% 0.4%
3 2.5% 3.8% 2.9% 1.4% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.9% 1.3% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPadovaAvellino
Played55
Form47%67%
Attack33%75%
Defense58%42%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.89 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Padova Avellino
HATHAT
Played235235
Wins50%33%40%100%33%60%
Draws0%33%20%0%33%20%
Loses50%33%40%0%33%20%

Form: Padova: LDLWW • Avellino: LDWWW

League goals

Metric Padova Avellino
HATHAT
GF total224459
GF avg1.00.70.82.01.71.8
GA total235167
GA avg1.01.01.00.52.01.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePadovaAvellino
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.560%60%80%80%
1.520%20%60%40%
2.50%20%20%20%
3.50%0%20%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPadovaAvellino
HATHAT
Clean sheets022101
Failed to score112011

Penalties

MetricPadovaAvellino
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricPadovaAvellino
Wins00
Draws11
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-12-03-4
Biggest losses0-13-1—2-0
Goals For2124
Goals Against1313

Model comparison

MetricPadovaAvellino
Form41%59%
Att31%69%
Def58%42%
Poisson Distribution50%50%
H2h88%13%
Goals75%25%
Total57.2%43.0%

Advice: Double chance : Padova or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.30 @ Unibet
Draw3.15 @ Marathonbet
Away3.82 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.66 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.53 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.19 @ 188Bet
No1.75 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Padova = 1.40 (league 1.43), Avellino = 1.52 (league 1.12)

Avellino
0 1 2 3 4 5
Padova 0 5.4% 8.2% 6.2% 3.1% 1.2% 0.4%
1 7.6% 11.5% 8.7% 4.4% 1.7% 0.5%
2 5.3% 8.1% 6.1% 3.1% 1.2% 0.4%
3 2.5% 3.8% 2.9% 1.4% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.9% 1.3% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 34.8% · Draw 24.6% · Away win 39.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1