Tue, Sep 30 2025 • 18:45 • Princes Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.34 (league 1.67) 0.91 (league 1.43)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
66.2% 17.7% 12.9%
best score tips
2 - 0
10.6%
2 - 1
9.7%
1 - 0
9.1%
Score & goals probability table
Burgess Hill Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Dartford 0 3.9% 3.5% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 9.1% 8.2% 3.7% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0%
2 10.6% 9.7% 4.4% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 8.3% 7.5% 3.4% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
4 4.9% 4.4% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
5 2.3% 2.1% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricDartfordBurgess Hill Town
Played55
Form60%7%
Attack100%50%
Defense33%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)13 | 2.66 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.613 | 2.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

68%
FT probability

3.5+

49%
FT probability

BTTS

82%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Dartford Burgess Hill Town
HATHAT
Played448268
Wins50%0%25%0%33%25%
Draws50%50%50%0%33%25%
Loses0%50%25%100%33%50%

Form: Dartford: LDLWDDDW • Burgess Hill Town: WWDLLDLL

League goals

Metric Dartford Burgess Hill Town
HATHAT
GF total95144812
GF avg2.31.31.82.01.31.5
GA total4111571017
GA avg1.02.81.93.51.72.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineDartfordBurgess Hill Town
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%88%88%88%
1.550%50%50%63%
2.525%25%13%50%
3.525%25%0%13%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricDartfordBurgess Hill Town
HATHAT
Clean sheets101011
Failed to score022011

Penalties

MetricDartfordBurgess Hill Town
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricDartfordBurgess Hill Town
Wins12
Draws31
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-11-2
Biggest losses4-02-43-0
Goals For4423
Goals Against2443

Model comparison

MetricDartfordBurgess Hill Town
Form90%10%
Att68%32%
Def62%38%
Poisson Distribution73%27%
H2h100%0%
Goals71%29%
Total72.8%27.2%

Advice: Double chance : Dartford or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.73 @ William Hill
Draw4.20 @ Superbet
Away4.11 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.57 @ 188Bet
No2.42 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.57 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.48 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Dartford = 2.34 (league 1.67), Burgess Hill Town = 0.91 (league 1.43)

Burgess Hill Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Dartford 0 3.9% 3.5% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 9.1% 8.2% 3.7% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0%
2 10.6% 9.7% 4.4% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 8.3% 7.5% 3.4% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
4 4.9% 4.4% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
5 2.3% 2.1% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 66.2% · Draw 17.7% · Away win 12.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1