Mon, Sep 29 2025 • 12:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.76 (league 1.29) 0.53 (league 1.02)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
66.6% 22.0% 10.5%
best score tips
1 - 0
17.8%
2 - 0
15.7%
0 - 0
10.1%
Score & goals probability table
Independiente F.b.c.
0 1 2 3 4 5
Deportivo Capiata 0 10.1% 5.3% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 17.8% 9.4% 2.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 15.7% 8.3% 2.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 9.2% 4.9% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 4.1% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.4% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricDeportivo CapiataIndependiente F.b.c.
Played55
Form73%47%
Attack43%36%
Defense79%57%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.66 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Deportivo Capiata Independiente F.b.c.
HATHAT
Played141428141428
Wins57%43%50%36%21%29%
Draws29%36%32%36%7%21%
Loses14%21%18%29%71%50%

Form: Deportivo Capiata: WWWLLDDWWLWDWWDWDDDWLLWDWWWD • Independiente F.b.c.: WLWDDDLLLWLDWLLLWWLDLLLDWLLW

League goals

Metric Deportivo Capiata Independiente F.b.c.
HATHAT
GF total171734181230
GF avg1.21.21.21.30.91.1
GA total8917132639
GA avg0.60.60.60.91.91.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineDeportivo CapiataIndependiente F.b.c.
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%54%71%71%
1.536%7%29%43%
2.511%0%7%21%
3.54%0%0%4%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricDeportivo CapiataIndependiente F.b.c.
HATHAT
Clean sheets8513628
Failed to score448358

Penalties

MetricDeportivo CapiataIndependiente F.b.c.
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricDeportivo CapiataIndependiente F.b.c.
Wins32
Draws33
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-43-00-2
Biggest losses1-21-00-23-0
Goals For3432
Goals Against2134

Model comparison

MetricDeportivo CapiataIndependiente F.b.c.
Form61%39%
Att55%45%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution78%22%
H2h38%62%
Goals30%70%
Total54.8%45.2%

Advice: Double chance : Deportivo Capiata or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.48 @ 188Bet
Draw4.50 @ Bet365
Away7.50 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.05 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.75 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.38 @ 188Bet
No1.67 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Deportivo Capiata = 1.76 (league 1.29), Independiente F.b.c. = 0.53 (league 1.02)

Independiente F.b.c.
0 1 2 3 4 5
Deportivo Capiata 0 10.1% 5.3% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 17.8% 9.4% 2.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 15.7% 8.3% 2.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 9.2% 4.9% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 4.1% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.4% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 66.6% · Draw 22.0% · Away win 10.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1