Serie A — Italy
Mon, Sep 29 2025 • 16:30 • Stadio Ennio Tardini
Match Finished
2 - 1
Expected Goals
2.03 (league 1.23) 0.46 (league 1.08)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
72.8% 18.1% 7.3%
best score tips
2 - 0
17.0%
1 - 0
16.8%
3 - 0
11.5%
Score & goals probability table
Torino
0 1 2 3 4 5
Parma 0 8.3% 3.8% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 16.8% 7.8% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 17.0% 7.9% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 11.5% 5.3% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 5.8% 2.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.4% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricParmaTorino
Played44
Form17%33%
Attack8%8%
Defense62%38%
Goals For (tot | avg)1 | 0.31 | 0.3
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 1.38 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

0.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

56%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Parma Torino
HATHAT
Played134224
Wins0%0%0%0%50%25%
Draws100%33%50%50%0%25%
Loses0%67%50%50%50%50%

Form: Parma: LDLD • Torino: LDWL

League goals

Metric Parma Torino
HATHAT
GF total101011
GF avg1.00.00.30.00.50.3
GA total145358
GA avg1.01.31.31.52.52.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineParmaTorino
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.525%75%25%50%
1.50%50%0%50%
2.50%0%0%50%
3.50%0%0%25%
4.50%0%0%25%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricParmaTorino
HATHAT
Clean sheets011112
Failed to score033213

Penalties

MetricParmaTorino
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricParmaTorino
Wins01
Draws11
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins———0-1
Biggest losses—2-00-35-0
Goals For1001
Goals Against1235

Model comparison

MetricParmaTorino
Form33%67%
Att50%50%
Def62%38%
Poisson Distribution81%19%
H2h25%75%
Goals30%70%
Total46.8%53.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Torino

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.64 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.11 @ 1xBet
Away3.24 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.43 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.67 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.98 @ Pinnacle
No1.89 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Parma = 2.03 (league 1.23), Torino = 0.46 (league 1.08)

Torino
0 1 2 3 4 5
Parma 0 8.3% 3.8% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 16.8% 7.8% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 17.0% 7.9% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 11.5% 5.3% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 5.8% 2.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.4% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 72.8% · Draw 18.1% · Away win 7.3%

Vtot 3 , Vtod1