Mon, Sep 29 2025 • 18:00 • LNER Community Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.17 (league 1.90) 4.45 (league 1.69)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
17.8% 12.3% 33.9%
best score tips
3 - 4
4.3%
2 - 4
4.0%
3 - 3
3.8%
Score & goals probability table
Norwich City U21
0 1 2 3 4 5
Leeds United U21 0 0.0% 0.2% 0.5% 0.7% 0.8% 0.7%
1 0.2% 0.7% 1.5% 2.3% 2.6% 2.3%
2 0.2% 1.1% 2.5% 3.6% 4.0% 3.6%
3 0.3% 1.2% 2.6% 3.8% 4.3% 3.8%
4 0.2% 0.9% 2.0% 3.0% 3.4% 3.0%
5 0.1% 0.6% 1.3% 1.9% 2.1% 1.9%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLeeds United U21Norwich City U21
Played44
Form50%58%
Attack56%50%
Defense56%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 2.38 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.88 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

6.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

85%
FT probability

3.5+

66%
FT probability

BTTS

96%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Leeds United U21 Norwich City U21
HATHAT
Played134224
Wins0%67%50%50%50%50%
Draws0%0%0%50%0%25%
Loses100%33%50%0%50%25%

Form: Leeds United U21: WLWL • Norwich City U21: DLWW

League goals

Metric Leeds United U21 Norwich City U21
HATHAT
GF total279358
GF avg2.02.32.31.52.52.0
GA total347268
GA avg3.01.31.81.03.02.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLeeds United U21Norwich City U21
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%75%100%100%
1.5100%50%75%50%
2.525%50%25%25%
3.50%0%0%25%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLeeds United U21Norwich City U21
HATHAT
Clean sheets011000
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricLeeds United U21Norwich City U21
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricLeeds United U21Norwich City U21
Wins10
Draws01
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—0-32-12-3
Biggest losses2-33-2—4-2
Goals For2323
Goals Against3314

Model comparison

MetricLeeds United U21Norwich City U21
Form46%54%
Att53%47%
Def53%47%
Poisson Distribution47%53%
H2h36%64%
Goals38%63%
Total45.5%54.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Norwich City U21 and +2.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.89 @ Unibet
Draw4.38 @ Pinnacle
Away3.60 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.47 @ 188Bet
No2.75 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.50 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.82 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Leeds United U21 = 3.17 (league 1.90), Norwich City U21 = 4.45 (league 1.69)

Norwich City U21
0 1 2 3 4 5
Leeds United U21 0 0.0% 0.2% 0.5% 0.7% 0.8% 0.7%
1 0.2% 0.7% 1.5% 2.3% 2.6% 2.3%
2 0.2% 1.1% 2.5% 3.6% 4.0% 3.6%
3 0.3% 1.2% 2.6% 3.8% 4.3% 3.8%
4 0.2% 0.9% 2.0% 3.0% 3.4% 3.0%
5 0.1% 0.6% 1.3% 1.9% 2.1% 1.9%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 17.8% · Draw 12.3% · Away win 33.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1