Mon, Sep 29 2025 • 18:00 • Estadio Municipal Germán Contreras Jara
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.24 (league 1.45) 1.26 (league 0.95)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
35.8% 27.0% 36.9%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.8%
0 - 1
10.3%
1 - 0
10.1%
Score & goals probability table
Cultural Santa Rosa
0 1 2 3 4 5
UTC 0 8.2% 10.3% 6.5% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2%
1 10.1% 12.8% 8.1% 3.4% 1.1% 0.3%
2 6.3% 7.9% 5.0% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
3 2.6% 3.3% 2.1% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.8% 1.0% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricUTCCultural Santa Rosa
Played55
Form13%60%
Attack27%60%
Defense47%20%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.89 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.612 | 2.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric UTC Cultural Santa Rosa
HATHAT
Played141428121426
Wins21%14%18%50%21%35%
Draws29%29%29%33%29%31%
Loses50%57%54%17%50%35%

Form: UTC: LLDDLWWLLWLWLLWDLDLDLLDDLLLD • Cultural Santa Rosa: DDLDWDLLDWWDLLWWDDLWLWWLWL

League goals

Metric UTC Cultural Santa Rosa
HATHAT
GF total121123221436
GF avg0.90.80.81.81.01.4
GA total173148172845
GA avg1.22.21.71.42.01.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineUTCCultural Santa Rosa
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.554%75%77%92%
1.521%46%42%46%
2.54%21%19%23%
3.54%14%0%4%
4.50%7%0%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricUTCCultural Santa Rosa
HATHAT
Clean sheets437112
Failed to score7613156

Penalties

MetricUTCCultural Santa Rosa
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total45

Streaks

MetricUTCCultural Santa Rosa
Wins22
Draws22
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-11-23-11-2
Biggest losses0-46-01-36-1
Goals For4233
Goals Against4636

Model comparison

MetricUTCCultural Santa Rosa
Form18%82%
Att31%69%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution48%52%
H2h50%50%
Goals57%43%
Total44.0%56.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Cultural Santa Rosa

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.25 @ Unibet
Draw3.50 @ Unibet
Away3.25 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.98 @ SBO
Under 2.51.86 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.77 @ 188Bet
No2.07 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): UTC = 1.24 (league 1.45), Cultural Santa Rosa = 1.26 (league 0.95)

Cultural Santa Rosa
0 1 2 3 4 5
UTC 0 8.2% 10.3% 6.5% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2%
1 10.1% 12.8% 8.1% 3.4% 1.1% 0.3%
2 6.3% 7.9% 5.0% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
3 2.6% 3.3% 2.1% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.8% 1.0% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 35.8% · Draw 27.0% · Away win 36.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1