Mon, Sep 29 2025 • 18:30 • Motor Lublin Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.16 (league 1.69) 0.24 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
60.2% 32.0% 7.7%
best score tips
1 - 0
28.5%
0 - 0
24.6%
2 - 0
16.6%
Score & goals probability table
Radomiak Radom
0 1 2 3 4 5
Motor Lublin 0 24.6% 6.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 28.5% 6.9% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.6% 4.0% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 6.4% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMotor LublinRadomiak Radom
Played55
Form40%27%
Attack29%43%
Defense64%29%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.86 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 110 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

78%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Motor Lublin Radomiak Radom
HATHAT
Played358549
Wins33%20%25%60%0%33%
Draws67%40%50%20%25%22%
Loses0%40%25%20%75%44%

Form: Motor Lublin: WLDDLWDD • Radomiak Radom: WDWLLDLLW

League goals

Metric Motor Lublin Radomiak Radom
HATHAT
GF total27911415
GF avg0.71.41.12.21.01.7
GA total1111251116
GA avg0.32.21.51.02.81.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMotor LublinRadomiak Radom
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%63%89%89%
1.525%50%33%44%
2.513%25%22%33%
3.50%13%11%11%
4.50%0%11%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMotor LublinRadomiak Radom
HATHAT
Clean sheets213101
Failed to score112011

Penalties

MetricMotor LublinRadomiak Radom
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricMotor LublinRadomiak Radom
Wins11
Draws21
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-00-15-1
Biggest losses4-11-24-1
Goals For1352
Goals Against1424

Model comparison

MetricMotor LublinRadomiak Radom
Form60%40%
Att40%60%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution80%20%
H2h71%29%
Goals57%43%
Total62.5%37.5%

Advice: Double chance : Motor Lublin or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.26 @ 1xBet
Draw3.63 @ Pinnacle
Away3.13 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.75 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.23 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.64 @ Unibet
No2.44 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Motor Lublin = 1.16 (league 1.69), Radomiak Radom = 0.24 (league 1.24)

Radomiak Radom
0 1 2 3 4 5
Motor Lublin 0 24.6% 6.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 28.5% 6.9% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.6% 4.0% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 6.4% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 60.2% · Draw 32.0% · Away win 7.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1