Esiliiga B — Estonia
Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 09:30 • Paide linnastaadion kunstmuruväljak
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.96 (league 2.19) 3.66 (league 1.95)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
5.6% 9.0% 69.0%
best score tips
0 - 3
8.1%
1 - 3
7.7%
0 - 4
7.4%
Score & goals probability table
Maardu
0 1 2 3 4 5
Paide II 0 1.0% 3.6% 6.6% 8.1% 7.4% 5.4%
1 0.9% 3.5% 6.3% 7.7% 7.1% 5.2%
2 0.5% 1.7% 3.0% 3.7% 3.4% 2.5%
3 0.1% 0.5% 1.0% 1.2% 1.1% 0.8%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPaide IIMaardu
Played55
Form40%87%
Attack22%96%
Defense74%83%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 122 | 4.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

84%
FT probability

3.5+

60%
FT probability

BTTS

80%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Paide II Maardu
HATHAT
Played141529151429
Wins29%20%24%87%86%86%
Draws21%13%17%0%7%3%
Loses50%67%59%13%7%10%

Form: Paide II: LLWLWLLWLLDLLLLDWLWLLWLLDWDDL • Maardu: WWWLWWWWLLWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWDW

League goals

Metric Paide II Maardu
HATHAT
GF total2918475843101
GF avg2.11.21.63.93.13.5
GA total323365141428
GA avg2.32.22.20.91.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePaide IIMaardu
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.572%90%93%59%
1.552%62%83%24%
2.524%45%66%14%
3.57%17%34%0%
4.53%7%31%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPaide IIMaardu
HATHAT
Clean sheets2136612
Failed to score268112

Penalties

MetricPaide IIMaardu
Scored (total | %)2 | 66.67%7 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)1 | 33.33%0 | 0%
Total37

Streaks

MetricPaide IIMaardu
Wins117
Draws21
Losses42

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-11-311-10-6
Biggest losses0-65-02-31-0
Goals For63116
Goals Against6533

Model comparison

MetricPaide IIMaardu
Form32%68%
Att19%81%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution22%78%
H2h0%100%
Goals19%81%
Total26.4%73.6%

Advice: Combo Winner : Maardu and +1.5 goals

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home13.17 @ Pinnacle
Draw7.50 @ Betfair
Away1.21 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.20 @ Unibet
Under 2.54.50 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.61 @ Marathonbet
No2.35 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Paide II = 0.96 (league 2.19), Maardu = 3.66 (league 1.95)

Maardu
0 1 2 3 4 5
Paide II 0 1.0% 3.6% 6.6% 8.1% 7.4% 5.4%
1 0.9% 3.5% 6.3% 7.7% 7.1% 5.2%
2 0.5% 1.7% 3.0% 3.7% 3.4% 2.5%
3 0.1% 0.5% 1.0% 1.2% 1.1% 0.8%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 5.6% · Draw 9.0% · Away win 69.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1