Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 10:00 • Ciudad Deportiva del Granada CF
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.51 (league 1.48) 3.27 (league 1.38)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
3.0% 8.0% 77.7%
best score tips
0 - 3
13.3%
0 - 2
12.2%
0 - 4
10.9%
Score & goals probability table
Atletico Madrid W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Granada 0 2.3% 7.5% 12.2% 13.3% 10.9% 7.1%
1 1.2% 3.8% 6.2% 6.8% 5.5% 3.6%
2 0.3% 1.0% 1.6% 1.7% 1.4% 0.9%
3 0.0% 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.2%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGranadaAtletico Madrid W
Played44
Form58%83%
Attack32%63%
Defense74%89%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.512 | 3
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 1.32 | 0.5

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

91%
FT probability

2.5+

64%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Granada Atletico Madrid W
HATHAT
Played224224
Wins50%50%50%100%50%75%
Draws0%50%25%0%50%25%
Loses50%0%25%0%0%0%

Form: Granada: WLDW • Atletico Madrid W: WWWD

League goals

Metric Granada Atletico Madrid W
HATHAT
GF total3366612
GF avg1.51.51.53.03.03.0
GA total325112
GA avg1.51.01.30.50.50.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGranadaAtletico Madrid W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%100%100%50%
1.550%25%75%0%
2.525%0%50%0%
3.50%0%50%0%
4.50%0%25%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGranadaAtletico Madrid W
HATHAT
Clean sheets000112
Failed to score101000

Penalties

MetricGranadaAtletico Madrid W
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricGranadaAtletico Madrid W
Wins13
Draws10
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-24-00-5
Biggest losses0-2———
Goals For3245
Goals Against2111

Model comparison

MetricGranadaAtletico Madrid W
Form41%59%
Att33%67%
Def29%71%
Poisson Distribution15%85%
H2h9%91%
Goals0%100%
Total25.4%74.6%

Advice: Winner : Atletico Madrid W

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home6.18 @ 1xBet
Draw4.25 @ Pinnacle
Away1.54 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.97 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.85 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.01 @ Pinnacle
No1.85 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Granada = 0.51 (league 1.48), Atletico Madrid W = 3.27 (league 1.38)

Atletico Madrid W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Granada 0 2.3% 7.5% 12.2% 13.3% 10.9% 7.1%
1 1.2% 3.8% 6.2% 6.8% 5.5% 3.6%
2 0.3% 1.0% 1.6% 1.7% 1.4% 0.9%
3 0.0% 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.2%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 3.0% · Draw 8.0% · Away win 77.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1