Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 11:00 • St Helens Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.57 (league 1.76) 13.62 (league 1.47)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
0.0% 0.0% 0.7%
best score tips
0 - 5
0.3%
1 - 5
0.2%
0 - 4
0.1%
Score & goals probability table
Manchester United W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Liverpool W 0 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.3%
1 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.2%
2 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLiverpool WManchester United W
Played23
Form0%78%
Attack7%64%
Defense64%93%
Goals For (tot | avg)1 | 0.59 | 3
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 2.51 | 0.3

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

6.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

85%
FT probability

3.5+

62%
FT probability

BTTS

82%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 1 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Liverpool W Manchester United W
HATHAT
Played112213
Wins0%0%0%50%100%67%
Draws0%0%0%50%0%33%
Loses100%100%100%0%0%0%

Form: Liverpool W: LL • Manchester United W: WWD

League goals

Metric Liverpool W Manchester United W
HATHAT
GF total101459
GF avg1.00.00.52.05.03.0
GA total415011
GA avg4.01.02.50.01.00.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLiverpool WManchester United W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%100%67%33%
1.50%50%67%0%
2.50%50%67%0%
3.50%50%67%0%
4.50%0%33%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLiverpool WManchester United W
HATHAT
Clean sheets000202
Failed to score011101

Penalties

MetricLiverpool WManchester United W
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricLiverpool WManchester United W
Wins02
Draws00
Losses20

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-5
Biggest losses1-41-0
Goals For1045
Goals Against4101

Model comparison

MetricLiverpool WManchester United W
Form0%100%
Att10%90%
Def17%83%
Poisson Distribution6%94%
H2h60%40%
Goals43%57%
Total27.2%72.8%

Advice: Combo Winner : Manchester United W and +2.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home7.00 @ Bet365
Draw4.33 @ Betfair
Away1.46 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.83 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.05 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.04 @ Unibet
No1.92 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Liverpool W = 0.57 (league 1.76), Manchester United W = 13.62 (league 1.47)

Manchester United W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Liverpool W 0 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.3%
1 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.2%
2 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 0.0% · Draw 0.0% · Away win 0.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1