Chitipa United vs Moyale Barracks

Super League — Malawi

Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 12:30 • Karonga Stadium

Match Finished

Chitipa United

2 - 0

Moyale Barracks

Expected Goals

1.18 (league 1.30) 0.56 (league 0.85)

1x2 probabilities

home	draw	away
51.1%	31.1%	17.6%

best score tips

1 - 0

20.6%

0 - 0

17.4%

2 - 0

12.2%

Score & goals probability table

		Moyale Barracks
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Chitipa United	0	17.4%	9.8%	2.8%	0.5%	0.1%	0.0%
	1	20.6%	11.6%	3.3%	0.6%	0.1%	0.0%
	2	12.2%	6.9%	1.9%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%
	3	4.8%	2.7%	0.8%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
	4	1.4%	0.8%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	5	0.3%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric	Chitipa United	Moyale Barracks
Played	5	5
Form	33%	33%
Attack	18%	55%
Defense	64%	36%
Goals For (tot \| avg)	2 \| 0.4	6 \| 1.2
Goals Against (tot \| avg)	4 \| 0.8	7 \| 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.40

Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90

Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90

Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00

Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

51%

FT probability

2.5+

36%

FT probability

3.5+

26%

FT probability

BTTS

52%

FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data

Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric	Chitipa United			Moyale Barracks
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Played	9	8	17	9	8	17
Wins	44%	0%	24%	11%	38%	24%
Draws	44%	38%	41%	67%	13%	41%
Loses	11%	63%	35%	22%	50%	35%

Form: Chitipa United: LDWLDLLDWWDDDDWLL • Moyale Barracks: WWDDWDDLLLDLDLWLD

League goals

Metric	Chitipa United			Moyale Barracks
	H	A	T	H	A	T
GF total	10	1	11	7	6	13
GF avg	1.1	0.1	0.6	0.8	0.8	0.8
GA total	5	9	14	8	11	19
GA avg	0.6	1.1	0.8	0.9	1.4	1.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line	Chitipa United		Moyale Barracks
	For	Against	For	Against
0.5	41%	53%	59%	71%
1.5	12%	24%	12%	24%
2.5	6%	6%	6%	18%
3.5	6%	0%	0%	0%
4.5	0%	0%	0%	0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric	Chitipa United			Moyale Barracks
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Clean sheets	6	2	8	2	3	5
Failed to score	3	7	10	4	3	7

Penalties

Metric	Chitipa United	Moyale Barracks
Scored (total \| %)	1 \| 100.00%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	1	0

Streaks

Metric	Chitipa United	Moyale Barracks
Wins	2	2
Draws	4	2
Losses	2	3

Biggest results (H/A)

Metric	H	A	H	A
Biggest wins	4-0	—	3-1	0-2
Biggest losses	0-2	3-0	0-2	3-0
Goals For	4	1	3	2
Goals Against	2	3	2	3

Model comparison

Metric	Chitipa United	Moyale Barracks
Form	50%	50%
Att	25%	75%
Def	64%	36%
Poisson Distribution	72%	28%
H2h	62%	38%
Goals	50%	50%
Total	53.8%	46.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Chitipa United or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

League page • Country page • Venue page • Chitipa United vs Moyale Barracks

Expected goals (λ): Chitipa United = 1.18 (league 1.30), Moyale Barracks = 0.56 (league 0.85)

		Moyale Barracks
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Chitipa United	0	17.4%	9.8%	2.8%	0.5%	0.1%	0.0%
	1	20.6%	11.6%	3.3%	0.6%	0.1%	0.0%
	2	12.2%	6.9%	1.9%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%
	3	4.8%	2.7%	0.8%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
	4	1.4%	0.8%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	5	0.3%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 51.1% · Draw 31.1% · Away win 17.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1

Metric	Chitipa United	Moyale Barracks
Scored (total \| %)	1 \| 100.00%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	1	0