Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 13:00 •
Stadio Comunale Carraia
Expected Goals
3.93 (league 1.27)
0.78 (league 1.03)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 69.6% | 6.7% | 3.3% |
best score tips
3 - 0
9.1%
4 - 0
9.0%
3 - 1
7.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Poggibonsi | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano | 0 | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 7.0% | 5.4% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 9.1% | 7.1% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 9.0% | 7.0% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 7.0% | 5.5% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano | Poggibonsi |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 4 | 4 |
| Form | 58% | 8% |
| Attack | 39% | 17% |
| Defense | 78% | 56% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.8 | 3 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 1 | 8 | 2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
72%
FT probability
2.5+
51%
FT probability
3.5+
36%
FT probability
BTTS
50%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano | Poggibonsi | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Wins | 50% | 50% | 50% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Draws | 50% | 0% | 25% | 50% | 0% | 25% |
| Loses | 0% | 50% | 25% | 50% | 100% | 75% |
Form: Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano: WLDW • Poggibonsi: LLLD
League goals
| Metric | Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano | Poggibonsi | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 5 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| GF avg | 2.5 | 1.0 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| GA total | 0 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| GA avg | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano | Poggibonsi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 50% | 50% | 50% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 25% | 25% | 100% |
| 2.5 | 25% | 25% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano | Poggibonsi | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano | Poggibonsi |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano | Poggibonsi |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 0 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-0 | 1-2 | — | — |
| Biggest losses | — | 3-0 | 1-2 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Goals Against | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano | Poggibonsi |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 88% | 13% |
| Att | 70% | 30% |
| Def | 67% | 33% |
| Poisson Distribution | 100% | 0% |
| H2h | 60% | 40% |
| Goals | 55% | 45% |
| Total | 68.0% | 32.2% |
Advice: Winner : Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano = 3.93 (league 1.27), Poggibonsi = 0.78 (league 1.03)
| Poggibonsi | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano | 0 | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 7.0% | 5.4% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 9.1% | 7.1% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 9.0% | 7.0% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 7.0% | 5.5% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 69.6% · Draw 6.7% · Away win 3.3%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1