Cherno more II vs Svetkavitsa Targovishte

Third League - Northeast — Bulgaria

Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 14:00 • Cherno More Sports Complex

Match Finished

Cherno more II

5 - 1

Svetkavitsa Targovishte

Expected Goals

4.35 (league 1.73) 0.62 (league 1.36)

1x2 probabilities

home	draw	away
66.8%	4.3%	1.7%

best score tips

4 - 0

10.3%

3 - 0

9.5%

5 - 0

9.0%

Score & goals probability table

		Svetkavitsa Targovishte
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Cherno more II	0	0.7%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	1	3.0%	1.9%	0.6%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
	2	6.5%	4.1%	1.3%	0.3%	0.0%	0.0%
	3	9.5%	5.9%	1.8%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%
	4	10.3%	6.4%	2.0%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%
	5	9.0%	5.6%	1.7%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric	Cherno more II	Svetkavitsa Targovishte
Played	5	5
Form	27%	0%
Attack	28%	11%
Defense	67%	0%
Goals For (tot \| avg)	5 \| 1	2 \| 0.4
Goals Against (tot \| avg)	6 \| 1.2	27 \| 5.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60

Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80

Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

6.60

Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

7.50

Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%

FT probability

2.5+

85%

FT probability

3.5+

63%

FT probability

BTTS

82%

FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data

Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric	Cherno more II			Svetkavitsa Targovishte
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Played	3	3	6	1	4	5
Wins	33%	33%	33%	0%	0%	0%
Draws	0%	33%	17%	0%	0%	0%
Loses	67%	33%	50%	100%	100%	100%

Form: Cherno more II: WLLDLW • Svetkavitsa Targovishte: LLLLL

League goals

Metric	Cherno more II			Svetkavitsa Targovishte
	H	A	T	H	A	T
GF total	4	3	7	0	2	2
GF avg	1.3	1.0	1.2	0.0	0.5	0.4
GA total	5	2	7	4	23	27
GA avg	1.7	0.7	1.2	4.0	5.8	5.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line	Cherno more II		Svetkavitsa Targovishte
	For	Against	For	Against
0.5	83%	67%	40%	100%
1.5	33%	50%	0%	80%
2.5	0%	0%	0%	80%
3.5	0%	0%	0%	80%
4.5	0%	0%	0%	60%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric	Cherno more II			Svetkavitsa Targovishte
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Clean sheets	0	2	2	0	0	0
Failed to score	0	1	1	1	2	3

Penalties

Metric	Cherno more II	Svetkavitsa Targovishte
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	0

Streaks

Metric	Cherno more II	Svetkavitsa Targovishte
Wins	1	0
Draws	1	0
Losses	2	5

Biggest results (H/A)

Metric	H	A	H	A
Biggest wins	2-1	0-2	—	—
Biggest losses	1-2	2-1	0-4	10-1
Goals For	2	2	0	1
Goals Against	2	2	4	10

Model comparison

Metric	Cherno more II	Svetkavitsa Targovishte
Form	100%	0%
Att	71%	29%
Def	82%	18%
Poisson Distribution	85%	15%
H2h	60%	40%
Goals	63%	38%
Total	72.2%	28.0%

Advice: Combo Winner : Cherno more II and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

League page • Country page • Venue page • Cherno more II vs Svetkavitsa Targovishte

Expected goals (λ): Cherno more II = 4.35 (league 1.73), Svetkavitsa Targovishte = 0.62 (league 1.36)

		Svetkavitsa Targovishte
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Cherno more II	0	0.7%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	1	3.0%	1.9%	0.6%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
	2	6.5%	4.1%	1.3%	0.3%	0.0%	0.0%
	3	9.5%	5.9%	1.8%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%
	4	10.3%	6.4%	2.0%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%
	5	9.0%	5.6%	1.7%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 66.8% · Draw 4.3% · Away win 1.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1

Metric	Cherno more II	Svetkavitsa Targovishte
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	0