Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 14:30 • Eleda Stadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.05 (league 1.50) 0.59 (league 1.35)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
69.8% 18.7% 9.6%
best score tips
2 - 0
14.9%
1 - 0
14.5%
3 - 0
10.2%
Score & goals probability table
IFK Varnamo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Malmo FF 0 7.1% 4.2% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 14.5% 8.6% 2.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 14.9% 8.9% 2.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 10.2% 6.1% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 5.2% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.2% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMalmo FFIFK Varnamo
Played55
Form40%20%
Attack44%50%
Defense75%13%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.48 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.814 | 2.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

78%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Malmo FF IFK Varnamo
HATHAT
Played121224131124
Wins42%42%42%15%0%8%
Draws33%42%38%31%18%25%
Loses25%17%21%54%82%67%

Form: Malmo FF: WWDDLWLWDWDLWDDWWWLWDDDL • IFK Varnamo: LLLLLLLDDLDLDLWLLDDWLLLL

League goals

Metric Malmo FF IFK Varnamo
HATHAT
GF total171936161127
GF avg1.41.61.51.21.01.1
GA total101121252449
GA avg0.80.90.91.92.22.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMalmo FFIFK Varnamo
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%58%71%92%
1.546%25%33%67%
2.525%4%8%29%
3.58%0%0%13%
4.50%0%0%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMalmo FFIFK Varnamo
HATHAT
Clean sheets5510202
Failed to score347257

Penalties

MetricMalmo FFIFK Varnamo
Scored (total | %)3 | 60.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)2 | 40.00%0 | 0%
Total51

Streaks

MetricMalmo FFIFK Varnamo
Wins31
Draws32
Losses17

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-43-2
Biggest losses1-32-01-54-2
Goals For3433
Goals Against3254

Model comparison

MetricMalmo FFIFK Varnamo
Form67%33%
Att47%53%
Def78%22%
Poisson Distribution78%22%
H2h85%15%
Goals72%28%
Total71.2%28.8%

Advice: Double chance : Malmo FF or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.21 @ Betano
Draw7.30 @ Marathonbet
Away13.25 @ Marathonbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.40 @ 10Bet
Under 2.53.16 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.92 @ Unibet
No1.95 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Malmo FF = 2.05 (league 1.50), IFK Varnamo = 0.59 (league 1.35)

IFK Varnamo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Malmo FF 0 7.1% 4.2% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 14.5% 8.6% 2.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 14.9% 8.9% 2.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 10.2% 6.1% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 5.2% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.2% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 69.8% · Draw 18.7% · Away win 9.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1