Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 15:30 • Stadion Wojska Polskiego
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.13 (league 1.69) 0.40 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
75.7% 16.4% 5.8%
best score tips
2 - 0
18.0%
1 - 0
16.9%
3 - 0
12.8%
Score & goals probability table
Pogon Szczecin
0 1 2 3 4 5
Legia Warszawa 0 7.9% 3.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 16.9% 6.8% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 18.0% 7.3% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 12.8% 5.2% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 6.8% 2.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.9% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLegia WarszawaPogon Szczecin
Played55
Form33%40%
Attack46%54%
Defense62%31%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 19 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Legia Warszawa Pogon Szczecin
HATHAT
Played448459
Wins50%25%38%50%20%33%
Draws50%25%38%0%20%11%
Loses0%50%25%50%60%56%

Form: Legia Warszawa: WDWLLWDD • Pogon Szczecin: LWDLLWWLL

League goals

Metric Legia Warszawa Pogon Szczecin
HATHAT
GF total74119514
GF avg1.81.01.42.31.01.6
GA total24681018
GA avg0.51.00.82.02.02.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLegia WarszawaPogon Szczecin
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.563%63%78%89%
1.538%13%44%44%
2.525%0%22%33%
3.513%0%11%22%
4.50%0%0%11%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLegia WarszawaPogon Szczecin
HATHAT
Clean sheets213101
Failed to score213112

Penalties

MetricLegia WarszawaPogon Szczecin
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricLegia WarszawaPogon Szczecin
Wins12
Draws11
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-24-11-2
Biggest losses2-10-35-1
Goals For4242
Goals Against1245

Model comparison

MetricLegia WarszawaPogon Szczecin
Form45%55%
Att46%54%
Def64%36%
Poisson Distribution83%17%
H2h62%38%
Goals53%47%
Total58.8%41.2%

Advice: Double chance : Legia Warszawa or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.62 @ William Hill
Draw4.50 @ Unibet
Away5.25 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.55 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.56 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.62 @ Bet365
No2.38 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Legia Warszawa = 2.13 (league 1.69), Pogon Szczecin = 0.40 (league 1.24)

Pogon Szczecin
0 1 2 3 4 5
Legia Warszawa 0 7.9% 3.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 16.9% 6.8% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 18.0% 7.3% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 12.8% 5.2% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 6.8% 2.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.9% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 75.7% · Draw 16.4% · Away win 5.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1