Liga MX — Mexico
Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 01:00 • Estadio Olímpico Benito Juárez
Match Finished
2 - 0
Expected Goals
2.06 (league 1.56) 0.41 (league 1.21)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
74.5% 17.3% 6.3%
best score tips
2 - 0
17.9%
1 - 0
17.4%
3 - 0
12.3%
Score & goals probability table
Leon
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC Juarez 0 8.4% 3.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 17.4% 7.2% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 17.9% 7.4% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 12.3% 5.1% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 6.3% 2.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.6% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFC JuarezLeon
Played55
Form67%40%
Attack56%38%
Defense63%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.86 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.28 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric FC Juarez Leon
HATHAT
Played55106410
Wins60%20%40%33%25%30%
Draws20%40%30%33%25%30%
Loses20%40%30%33%50%40%

Form: FC Juarez: DLDLWWWDLW • Leon: LWLLWDWDLD

League goals

Metric FC Juarez Leon
HATHAT
GF total76138210
GF avg1.41.21.31.30.51.0
GA total57127916
GA avg1.01.41.21.22.31.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFC JuarezLeon
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%90%70%60%
1.540%20%20%40%
2.510%10%10%30%
3.50%0%0%20%
4.50%0%0%10%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFC JuarezLeon
HATHAT
Clean sheets101224
Failed to score112123

Penalties

MetricFC JuarezLeon
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total23

Streaks

MetricFC JuarezLeon
Wins31
Draws11
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-23-00-1
Biggest losses0-23-21-35-0
Goals For3231
Goals Against2335

Model comparison

MetricFC JuarezLeon
Form63%38%
Att60%40%
Def57%43%
Poisson Distribution84%16%
H2h15%85%
Goals36%64%
Total52.5%47.7%

Advice: Double chance : FC Juarez or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.02 @ 188Bet
Draw3.85 @ 1xBet
Away3.80 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.72 @ 188Bet
No2.20 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.86 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.04 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): FC Juarez = 2.06 (league 1.56), Leon = 0.41 (league 1.21)

Leon
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC Juarez 0 8.4% 3.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 17.4% 7.2% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 17.9% 7.4% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 12.3% 5.1% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 6.3% 2.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.6% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 74.5% · Draw 17.3% · Away win 6.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1