J2 League — Japan
Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 09:00 • ND Soft Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.76 (league 1.28) 0.90 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
56.9% 23.3% 18.9%
best score tips
1 - 0
12.4%
1 - 1
11.1%
2 - 0
10.9%
Score & goals probability table
Renofa Yamaguchi
0 1 2 3 4 5
Montedio Yamagata 0 7.0% 6.3% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
1 12.4% 11.1% 5.0% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.9% 9.7% 4.4% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 6.4% 5.7% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 2.8% 2.5% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.0% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMontedio YamagataRenofa Yamaguchi
Played55
Form60%33%
Attack57%43%
Defense57%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.66 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Montedio Yamagata Renofa Yamaguchi
HATHAT
Played141630151530
Wins36%31%33%20%7%13%
Draws14%19%17%53%33%43%
Loses50%50%50%27%60%43%

Form: Montedio Yamagata: LLLWWDDDWLLDLWDLLLLWLWLWLWLWWL • Renofa Yamaguchi: LDWLDLLDDDLWLLLWDDDLDLDDLDLDWL

League goals

Metric Montedio Yamagata Renofa Yamaguchi
HATHAT
GF total212243161127
GF avg1.51.41.41.10.70.9
GA total212344162238
GA avg1.51.41.51.11.51.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMontedio YamagataRenofa Yamaguchi
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.570%77%60%80%
1.540%47%30%43%
2.530%17%0%3%
3.53%7%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMontedio YamagataRenofa Yamaguchi
HATHAT
Clean sheets527426
Failed to score5494812

Penalties

MetricMontedio YamagataRenofa Yamaguchi
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricMontedio YamagataRenofa Yamaguchi
Wins21
Draws33
Losses43

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-32-00-1
Biggest losses0-43-11-23-1
Goals For4322
Goals Against4323

Model comparison

MetricMontedio YamagataRenofa Yamaguchi
Form64%36%
Att57%43%
Def54%46%
Poisson Distribution65%35%
H2h29%71%
Goals38%63%
Total51.2%49.0%

Advice: Double chance : Montedio Yamagata or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.22 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.40 @ 188Bet
Away3.46 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.89 @ 188Bet
No1.96 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.13 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.76 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Montedio Yamagata = 1.76 (league 1.28), Renofa Yamaguchi = 0.90 (league 1.17)

Renofa Yamaguchi
0 1 2 3 4 5
Montedio Yamagata 0 7.0% 6.3% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
1 12.4% 11.1% 5.0% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.9% 9.7% 4.4% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 6.4% 5.7% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 2.8% 2.5% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.0% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 56.9% · Draw 23.3% · Away win 18.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1