Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 11:00 •
Larrakia Park
Expected Goals
2.46 (league 1.76)
0.92 (league 1.56)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 67.1% | 16.7% | 12.1% |
best score tips
2 - 0
10.3%
2 - 1
9.5%
3 - 0
8.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Uni Azzurri | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Darwin Olympic | 0 | 3.4% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 8.4% | 7.7% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 10.3% | 9.5% | 4.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 8.4% | 7.8% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 5.2% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Darwin Olympic | Uni Azzurri |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 80% |
| Attack | 76% | 35% |
| Defense | 71% | 71% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 13 | 2.6 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
87%
FT probability
2.5+
61%
FT probability
3.5+
44%
FT probability
BTTS
69%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Darwin Olympic | Uni Azzurri | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 11 | 11 | 22 | 11 | 12 | 23 |
| Wins | 64% | 55% | 59% | 73% | 42% | 57% |
| Draws | 18% | 27% | 23% | 0% | 17% | 9% |
| Loses | 18% | 18% | 18% | 27% | 42% | 35% |
Form: Darwin Olympic: DWWWWWDLDWDLWWWWDWWLLW • Uni Azzurri: LWLWLWLLDWWWLLWWWDLWWWW
League goals
| Metric | Darwin Olympic | Uni Azzurri | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 26 | 14 | 40 | 15 | 14 | 29 |
| GF avg | 2.4 | 1.3 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 13 | 8 | 21 | 12 | 22 | 34 |
| GA avg | 1.2 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 1.8 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Darwin Olympic | Uni Azzurri | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 77% | 68% | 74% | 57% |
| 1.5 | 64% | 18% | 39% | 35% |
| 2.5 | 18% | 5% | 9% | 26% |
| 3.5 | 9% | 5% | 4% | 17% |
| 4.5 | 9% | 0% | 0% | 9% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Darwin Olympic | Uni Azzurri | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | Darwin Olympic | Uni Azzurri |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Darwin Olympic | Uni Azzurri |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 5 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 6-1 | 1-3 | 2-0 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 2-4 | 1-0 | 0-4 | 6-0 |
| Goals For | 6 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 2 | 4 | 6 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Darwin Olympic | Uni Azzurri |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 43% | 57% |
| Att | 68% | 32% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 73% | 27% |
| H2h | 80% | 20% |
| Goals | 73% | 27% |
| Total | 64.5% | 35.5% |
Advice: Double chance : Darwin Olympic or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Darwin Olympic = 2.46 (league 1.76), Uni Azzurri = 0.92 (league 1.56)
| Uni Azzurri | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Darwin Olympic | 0 | 3.4% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 8.4% | 7.7% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 10.3% | 9.5% | 4.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 8.4% | 7.8% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 5.2% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 67.1% · Draw 16.7% · Away win 12.1%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1