Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 12:00 •
Gesundbrunnenstadion
Expected Goals
0.89 (league 1.80)
0.36 (league 1.68)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 47.2% | 38.5% | 14.2% |
best score tips
0 - 0
28.6%
1 - 0
25.6%
2 - 0
11.4%
Score & goals probability table
| FC Grimma | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Heiligenstadt | 0 | 28.6% | 10.2% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 25.6% | 9.1% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.4% | 4.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Heiligenstadt | FC Grimma |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 13% | 33% |
| Attack | 31% | 31% |
| Defense | 8% | 8% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 12 | 2.4 | 12 | 2.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
82%
FT probability
2.5+
58%
FT probability
3.5+
41%
FT probability
BTTS
65%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Heiligenstadt | FC Grimma | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Wins | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 33% | 17% |
| Draws | 33% | 33% | 33% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| Loses | 67% | 67% | 67% | 67% | 33% | 50% |
Form: Heiligenstadt: LDLLDL • FC Grimma: LLLWDD
League goals
| Metric | Heiligenstadt | FC Grimma | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 2 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
| GF avg | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.8 |
| GA total | 6 | 8 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 14 |
| GA avg | 2.0 | 2.7 | 2.3 | 2.3 | 2.3 | 2.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Heiligenstadt | FC Grimma | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 67% | 100% | 67% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 17% | 83% | 17% | 67% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 33% | 0% | 33% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 17% | 0% | 17% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 17% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Heiligenstadt | FC Grimma | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Heiligenstadt | FC Grimma |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Heiligenstadt | FC Grimma |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | — | — | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 4-0 | 1-3 | 7-0 |
| Goals For | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Heiligenstadt | FC Grimma |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 29% | 71% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 73% | 27% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 50.5% | 49.5% |
Advice: Double chance : Heiligenstadt or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Heiligenstadt = 0.89 (league 1.80), FC Grimma = 0.36 (league 1.68)
| FC Grimma | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Heiligenstadt | 0 | 28.6% | 10.2% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 25.6% | 9.1% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.4% | 4.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 47.2% · Draw 38.5% · Away win 14.2%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1