Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 12:30 • Sportpark Denoek
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.94 (league 1.70) 0.27 (league 1.56)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
76.8% 17.4% 4.3%
best score tips
1 - 0
21.2%
2 - 0
20.7%
3 - 0
13.4%
Score & goals probability table
Excelsior Maassluis
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hoek 0 10.9% 2.9% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 21.2% 5.7% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 20.7% 5.6% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 13.4% 3.6% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 6.5% 1.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHoekExcelsior Maassluis
Played55
Form67%7%
Attack47%20%
Defense80%40%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.43 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.69 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

70%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

52%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Hoek Excelsior Maassluis
HATHAT
Played235336
Wins50%67%60%0%0%0%
Draws50%0%20%33%0%17%
Loses0%33%20%67%100%83%

Form: Hoek: WWWDL • Excelsior Maassluis: LLLDLL

League goals

Metric Hoek Excelsior Maassluis
HATHAT
GF total257123
GF avg1.01.71.40.30.70.5
GA total03341014
GA avg0.01.00.61.33.32.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHoekExcelsior Maassluis
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%40%33%83%
1.540%20%17%67%
2.520%0%0%50%
3.50%0%0%17%
4.50%0%0%17%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHoekExcelsior Maassluis
HATHAT
Clean sheets213101
Failed to score101224

Penalties

MetricHoekExcelsior Maassluis
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricHoekExcelsior Maassluis
Wins30
Draws11
Losses03

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-3——
Biggest losses—2-11-35-0
Goals For2312
Goals Against0235

Model comparison

MetricHoekExcelsior Maassluis
Form91%9%
Att70%30%
Def75%25%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total78.7%21.3%

Advice: Double chance : Hoek or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.56 @ Unibet
Draw4.45 @ Superbet
Away5.00 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.60 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.40 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.70 @ Superbet
No2.23 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Hoek = 1.94 (league 1.70), Excelsior Maassluis = 0.27 (league 1.56)

Excelsior Maassluis
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hoek 0 10.9% 2.9% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 21.2% 5.7% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 20.7% 5.6% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 13.4% 3.6% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 6.5% 1.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 76.8% · Draw 17.4% · Away win 4.3%

vtt 1 , vtd1