Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 14:00 • Elland Road
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.64 (league 1.56) 1.70 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
13.6% 23.3% 62.3%
best score tips
0 - 1
16.4%
0 - 2
13.9%
1 - 1
10.5%
Score & goals probability table
Bournemouth
0 1 2 3 4 5
Leeds 0 9.6% 16.4% 13.9% 7.9% 3.4% 1.1%
1 6.2% 10.5% 8.9% 5.0% 2.1% 0.7%
2 2.0% 3.3% 2.8% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2%
3 0.4% 0.7% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLeedsBournemouth
Played55
Form47%67%
Attack33%50%
Defense42%58%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.86 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

60%
FT probability

2.5+

42%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

50%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Leeds Bournemouth
HATHAT
Played235325
Wins50%33%40%67%50%60%
Draws50%0%20%33%0%20%
Loses0%67%40%0%50%20%

Form: Leeds: WLDLW • Bournemouth: LWWWD

League goals

Metric Leeds Bournemouth
HATHAT
GF total134336
GF avg0.51.00.81.01.51.2
GA total077145
GA avg0.02.31.40.32.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLeedsBournemouth
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.540%60%80%40%
1.520%20%40%20%
2.520%20%0%20%
3.50%20%0%20%
4.50%20%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLeedsBournemouth
HATHAT
Clean sheets202213
Failed to score123101

Penalties

MetricLeedsBournemouth
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricLeedsBournemouth
Wins13
Draws10
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-01-32-10-1
Biggest losses—5-0—4-2
Goals For1322
Goals Against0514

Model comparison

MetricLeedsBournemouth
Form41%59%
Att40%60%
Def42%58%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h60%40%
Goals45%55%
Total45.6%54.4%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Leeds or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.05 @ Unibet
Draw3.54 @ 1xBet
Away2.57 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.06 @ SBO
Under 2.51.89 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.80 @ Betfair
No2.12 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Leeds = 0.64 (league 1.56), Bournemouth = 1.70 (league 1.24)

Bournemouth
0 1 2 3 4 5
Leeds 0 9.6% 16.4% 13.9% 7.9% 3.4% 1.1%
1 6.2% 10.5% 8.9% 5.0% 2.1% 0.7%
2 2.0% 3.3% 2.8% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2%
3 0.4% 0.7% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 13.6% · Draw 23.3% · Away win 62.3%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1