2. SNL — Slovenia
Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 14:00 • Športni park Ilirija
Match Finished
2 - 2
Expected Goals
0.44 (league 1.59) 2.92 (league 1.42)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
3.3% 9.6% 79.6%
best score tips
0 - 2
14.9%
0 - 3
14.5%
0 - 4
10.6%
Score & goals probability table
Rudar
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ilirija 0 3.5% 10.2% 14.9% 14.5% 10.6% 6.2%
1 1.5% 4.4% 6.5% 6.3% 4.6% 2.7%
2 0.3% 1.0% 1.4% 1.4% 1.0% 0.6%
3 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricIlirijaRudar
Played55
Form27%27%
Attack40%53%
Defense47%27%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.28 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.611 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

94%
FT probability

2.5+

66%
FT probability

3.5+

47%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Ilirija Rudar
HATHAT
Played347347
Wins0%25%14%0%25%14%
Draws0%25%14%33%0%14%
Loses100%50%71%67%75%71%

Form: Ilirija: LLWLLLD • Rudar: LLLDLLW

League goals

Metric Ilirija Rudar
HATHAT
GF total167279
GF avg0.31.51.00.71.81.3
GA total77146915
GA avg2.31.82.02.02.32.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineIlirijaRudar
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%86%71%86%
1.514%71%43%71%
2.514%43%14%43%
3.50%0%0%14%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricIlirijaRudar
HATHAT
Clean sheets011011
Failed to score202202

Penalties

MetricIlirijaRudar
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricIlirijaRudar
Wins10
Draws01
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—0-3—0-3
Biggest losses0-33-10-34-2
Goals For1323
Goals Against3334

Model comparison

MetricIlirijaRudar
Form50%50%
Att43%57%
Def58%42%
Poisson Distribution15%85%
H2h29%71%
Goals42%58%
Total39.5%60.5%

Advice: Winner : Rudar

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.53 @ Marathonbet
Draw3.70 @ Superbet
Away2.55 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.85 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.98 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.67 @ Superbet
No2.20 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Ilirija = 0.44 (league 1.59), Rudar = 2.92 (league 1.42)

Rudar
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ilirija 0 3.5% 10.2% 14.9% 14.5% 10.6% 6.2%
1 1.5% 4.4% 6.5% 6.3% 4.6% 2.7%
2 0.3% 1.0% 1.4% 1.4% 1.0% 0.6%
3 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 3.3% · Draw 9.6% · Away win 79.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1