Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 14:00 • VBS Community Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.19 (league 1.48) 1.77 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
45.3% 20.4% 30.9%
best score tips
2 - 1
8.1%
1 - 1
7.4%
2 - 2
7.2%
Score & goals probability table
Boston United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sutton Utd 0 1.9% 3.4% 3.0% 1.8% 0.8% 0.3%
1 4.2% 7.4% 6.6% 3.9% 1.7% 0.6%
2 4.6% 8.1% 7.2% 4.2% 1.9% 0.7%
3 3.3% 5.9% 5.2% 3.1% 1.4% 0.5%
4 1.8% 3.2% 2.9% 1.7% 0.7% 0.3%
5 0.8% 1.4% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSutton UtdBoston United
Played55
Form7%33%
Attack58%42%
Defense8%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

89%
FT probability

2.5+

63%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sutton Utd Boston United
HATHAT
Played56115510
Wins20%0%9%40%20%30%
Draws20%33%27%0%40%20%
Loses60%67%64%60%40%50%

Form: Sutton Utd: DDLLLWLLLLD • Boston United: WLLWLDLDLW

League goals

Metric Sutton Utd Boston United
HATHAT
GF total94135510
GF avg1.80.71.21.01.01.0
GA total1111226915
GA avg2.21.82.01.21.81.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSutton UtdBoston United
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.564%91%60%90%
1.545%55%30%50%
2.59%36%10%10%
3.50%18%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSutton UtdBoston United
HATHAT
Clean sheets101101
Failed to score134224

Penalties

MetricSutton UtdBoston United
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricSutton UtdBoston United
Wins11
Draws21
Losses42

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-12-02-3
Biggest losses3-44-00-23-0
Goals For3223
Goals Against4423

Model comparison

MetricSutton UtdBoston United
Form17%83%
Att58%42%
Def35%65%
Poisson Distribution53%47%
H2h0%100%
Goals17%83%
Total36.0%64.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Boston United

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.02 @ Betano
Draw3.79 @ Pinnacle
Away3.50 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.85 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.05 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.70 @ Bet365
No2.21 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sutton Utd = 2.19 (league 1.48), Boston United = 1.77 (league 1.24)

Boston United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sutton Utd 0 1.9% 3.4% 3.0% 1.8% 0.8% 0.3%
1 4.2% 7.4% 6.6% 3.9% 1.7% 0.6%
2 4.6% 8.1% 7.2% 4.2% 1.9% 0.7%
3 3.3% 5.9% 5.2% 3.1% 1.4% 0.5%
4 1.8% 3.2% 2.9% 1.7% 0.7% 0.3%
5 0.8% 1.4% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 45.3% · Draw 20.4% · Away win 30.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1