Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 15:00 •
Ciudad Deportiva de Castañares
Expected Goals
1.36 (league 1.47)
0.66 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 53.5% | 28.1% | 18.1% |
best score tips
1 - 0
18.0%
0 - 0
13.2%
2 - 0
12.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Langreo | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Burgos Promesas | 0 | 13.2% | 8.7% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 18.0% | 11.9% | 3.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 12.3% | 8.1% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 5.6% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Burgos Promesas | Langreo |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 3 | 3 |
| Form | 22% | 11% |
| Attack | 8% | 15% |
| Defense | 69% | 62% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 1 | 0.3 | 2 | 0.7 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 1.3 | 5 | 1.7 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
57%
FT probability
2.5+
40%
FT probability
3.5+
29%
FT probability
BTTS
65%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Burgos Promesas | Langreo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Wins | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Draws | 100% | 50% | 67% | 50% | 0% | 33% |
| Loses | 0% | 50% | 33% | 50% | 100% | 67% |
Form: Burgos Promesas: LDD • Langreo: DLL
League goals
| Metric | Burgos Promesas | Langreo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 |
| GA total | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 1.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Burgos Promesas | Langreo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 33% | 67% | 67% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 0% | 33% | 0% | 67% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 33% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Burgos Promesas | Langreo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Burgos Promesas | Langreo |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Burgos Promesas | Langreo |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | — | — | — |
| Biggest losses | — | 3-0 | 1-2 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Burgos Promesas | Langreo |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 67% | 33% |
| Att | 33% | 67% |
| Def | 56% | 44% |
| Poisson Distribution | 100% | 0% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 0% | 100% |
| Total | 52.0% | 48.0% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Langreo and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Burgos Promesas = 1.36 (league 1.47), Langreo = 0.66 (league 1.06)
| Langreo | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Burgos Promesas | 0 | 13.2% | 8.7% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 18.0% | 11.9% | 3.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 12.3% | 8.1% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 5.6% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 53.5% · Draw 28.1% · Away win 18.1%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1