Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 17:45 •
Estádio Leônidas da Silva
Expected Goals
2.28 (league 0.88)
0.32 (league 0.93)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 79.2% | 14.0% | 3.9% |
best score tips
2 - 0
19.2%
1 - 0
16.9%
3 - 0
14.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Duque de Caxias | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Bonsucesso | 0 | 7.4% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 16.9% | 5.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 19.2% | 6.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 14.6% | 4.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 8.3% | 2.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Bonsucesso | Duque de Caxias |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 3 | 3 |
| Form | 56% | 67% |
| Attack | 60% | 60% |
| Defense | 80% | 60% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 1 | 0.3 | 2 | 0.7 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
43%
FT probability
2.5+
30%
FT probability
3.5+
21%
FT probability
BTTS
49%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Bonsucesso | Duque de Caxias | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Wins | 0% | 50% | 33% | 100% | 0% | 67% |
| Draws | 100% | 50% | 67% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 33% |
Form: Bonsucesso: DWD • Duque de Caxias: WLW
League goals
| Metric | Bonsucesso | Duque de Caxias | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| GF avg | 0.0 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| GA avg | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Bonsucesso | Duque de Caxias | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 67% | 33% | 100% | 33% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 0% | 0% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Bonsucesso | Duque de Caxias | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Bonsucesso | Duque de Caxias |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Bonsucesso | Duque de Caxias |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 0-2 | 1-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | — | — | — | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Bonsucesso | Duque de Caxias |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 45% | 55% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 67% | 33% |
| Poisson Distribution | 0% | 0% |
| H2h | 20% | 80% |
| Goals | 0% | 100% |
| Total | 45.5% | 54.5% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Duque de Caxias and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Bonsucesso = 2.28 (league 0.88), Duque de Caxias = 0.32 (league 0.93)
| Duque de Caxias | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Bonsucesso | 0 | 7.4% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 16.9% | 5.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 19.2% | 6.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 14.6% | 4.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 8.3% | 2.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 79.2% · Draw 14.0% · Away win 3.9%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1