Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 18:00 •
Lucas Masterpieces Moripe Stadium
Expected Goals
1.20 (league 1.13)
0.11 (league 0.85)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 65.9% | 30.7% | 3.2% |
best score tips
1 - 0
32.5%
0 - 0
27.1%
2 - 0
19.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Richards Bay | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Mamelodi Sundowns | 0 | 27.1% | 2.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 32.5% | 3.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 19.5% | 2.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 7.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Mamelodi Sundowns | Richards Bay |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 73% |
| Attack | 100% | 50% |
| Defense | 63% | 88% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 1 | 0.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
0.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
49%
FT probability
2.5+
34%
FT probability
3.5+
24%
FT probability
BTTS
51%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Mamelodi Sundowns | Richards Bay | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 6 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| Wins | 100% | 33% | 56% | 50% | 25% | 38% |
| Draws | 0% | 50% | 33% | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Loses | 0% | 17% | 11% | 25% | 50% | 38% |
Form: Mamelodi Sundowns: DWWDWWDWL • Richards Bay: LLLWDDWW
League goals
| Metric | Mamelodi Sundowns | Richards Bay | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 8 | 5 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
| GF avg | 2.7 | 0.8 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.6 |
| GA total | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| GA avg | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Mamelodi Sundowns | Richards Bay | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 78% | 44% | 63% | 50% |
| 1.5 | 44% | 0% | 0% | 13% |
| 2.5 | 22% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Mamelodi Sundowns | Richards Bay | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Mamelodi Sundowns | Richards Bay |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Mamelodi Sundowns | Richards Bay |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 0 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-2 | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | — | 1-0 | 1-2 | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Mamelodi Sundowns | Richards Bay |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 48% | 52% |
| Att | 67% | 33% |
| Def | 25% | 75% |
| Poisson Distribution | 92% | 8% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 100% | 0% |
| Total | 58.0% | 42.0% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Mamelodi Sundowns or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Mamelodi Sundowns = 1.20 (league 1.13), Richards Bay = 0.11 (league 0.85)
| Richards Bay | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Mamelodi Sundowns | 0 | 27.1% | 2.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 32.5% | 3.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 19.5% | 2.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 7.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 65.9% · Draw 30.7% · Away win 3.2%
Vtot 2 , Vtod1