Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 18:30 • Estadio Armenia
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.38 (league 1.11) 0.94 (league 0.85)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
46.9% 27.3% 25.4%
best score tips
1 - 0
13.6%
1 - 1
12.7%
0 - 0
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
Excursionistas
0 1 2 3 4 5
Deportivo Armenio 0 9.8% 9.2% 4.3% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
1 13.6% 12.7% 6.0% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1%
2 9.4% 8.8% 4.1% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 4.3% 4.1% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.5% 1.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricDeportivo ArmenioExcursionistas
Played55
Form67%53%
Attack53%53%
Defense60%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.68 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

59%
FT probability

2.5+

42%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Deportivo Armenio Excursionistas
HATHAT
Played161733171633
Wins31%35%33%59%25%42%
Draws44%41%42%29%19%24%
Loses25%24%24%12%56%33%

Form: Deportivo Armenio: WDDWLLDWLDDDLLWDLDWLWDDWDDWDWLDWW • Excursionistas: LDLDDWWDLDLWWWWLWWLWLLLDWLWWDLWDW

League goals

Metric Deportivo Armenio Excursionistas
HATHAT
GF total171532231639
GF avg1.10.91.01.41.01.2
GA total131427102333
GA avg0.80.80.80.61.41.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineDeportivo ArmenioExcursionistas
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%58%73%61%
1.515%15%27%33%
2.512%6%15%6%
3.53%3%3%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricDeportivo ArmenioExcursionistas
HATHAT
Clean sheets951410313
Failed to score6511459

Penalties

MetricDeportivo ArmenioExcursionistas
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%10 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total210

Streaks

MetricDeportivo ArmenioExcursionistas
Wins14
Draws32
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-02-33-01-2
Biggest losses1-42-00-22-0
Goals For4343
Goals Against4223

Model comparison

MetricDeportivo ArmenioExcursionistas
Form56%44%
Att50%50%
Def45%55%
Poisson Distribution58%42%
H2h62%38%
Goals67%33%
Total56.3%43.7%

Advice: Double chance : Deportivo Armenio or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.00 @ Unibet
Draw3.40 @ Superbet
Away4.33 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.88 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.44 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.50 @ Bet365
No1.57 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Deportivo Armenio = 1.38 (league 1.11), Excursionistas = 0.94 (league 0.85)

Excursionistas
0 1 2 3 4 5
Deportivo Armenio 0 9.8% 9.2% 4.3% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
1 13.6% 12.7% 6.0% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1%
2 9.4% 8.8% 4.1% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 4.3% 4.1% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.5% 1.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 46.9% · Draw 27.3% · Away win 25.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1