Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 21:00 • Estadio Carlos Fonseca Amador
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.74 (league 1.53) 1.66 (league 0.97)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
54.6% 17.5% 21.3%
best score tips
2 - 1
7.7%
3 - 1
7.0%
2 - 2
6.3%
Score & goals probability table
Rancho Santana
0 1 2 3 4 5
Matagalpa 0 1.2% 2.0% 1.7% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1%
1 3.4% 5.6% 4.6% 2.6% 1.1% 0.4%
2 4.6% 7.7% 6.3% 3.5% 1.5% 0.5%
3 4.2% 7.0% 5.8% 3.2% 1.3% 0.4%
4 2.9% 4.8% 4.0% 2.2% 0.9% 0.3%
5 1.6% 2.6% 2.2% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMatagalpaRancho Santana
Played55
Form33%40%
Attack46%38%
Defense54%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.213 | 2.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

70%
FT probability

3.5+

50%
FT probability

BTTS

78%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Matagalpa Rancho Santana
HATHAT
Played55105510
Wins20%40%30%20%20%20%
Draws20%40%30%0%20%10%
Loses60%20%40%80%60%70%

Form: Matagalpa: WWLDLWLDLD • Rancho Santana: LLDLLLWWLL

League goals

Metric Matagalpa Rancho Santana
HATHAT
GF total7714549
GF avg1.41.41.41.00.80.9
GA total10515141529
GA avg2.01.01.52.83.02.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMatagalpaRancho Santana
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%80%70%90%
1.550%70%20%60%
2.510%0%0%30%
3.50%0%0%30%
4.50%0%0%30%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMatagalpaRancho Santana
HATHAT
Clean sheets022011
Failed to score112123

Penalties

MetricMatagalpaRancho Santana
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricMatagalpaRancho Santana
Wins22
Draws11
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-20-22-10-1
Biggest losses0-22-11-86-0
Goals For3222
Goals Against2286

Model comparison

MetricMatagalpaRancho Santana
Form45%55%
Att55%45%
Def68%32%
Poisson Distribution66%34%
H2h71%29%
Goals60%40%
Total60.8%39.2%

Advice: Double chance : Matagalpa or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.42 @ Bet365
Draw5.14 @ 1xBet
Away7.36 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.53 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.50 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.71 @ Superbet
No2.04 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Matagalpa = 2.74 (league 1.53), Rancho Santana = 1.66 (league 0.97)

Rancho Santana
0 1 2 3 4 5
Matagalpa 0 1.2% 2.0% 1.7% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1%
1 3.4% 5.6% 4.6% 2.6% 1.1% 0.4%
2 4.6% 7.7% 6.3% 3.5% 1.5% 0.5%
3 4.2% 7.0% 5.8% 3.2% 1.3% 0.4%
4 2.9% 4.8% 4.0% 2.2% 0.9% 0.3%
5 1.6% 2.6% 2.2% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 54.6% · Draw 17.5% · Away win 21.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1