Liga 1 — Moldova
Fri, Sep 26 2025 • 13:00 • Stadionul Ungheni
Match Finished
Expected Goals
4.49 (league 1.87) 0.62 (league 1.62)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
65.1% 3.9% 1.5%
best score tips
4 - 0
10.2%
5 - 0
9.2%
3 - 0
9.1%
Score & goals probability table
Victoria Bardar
0 1 2 3 4 5
FCM Ungheni 0 0.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 2.7% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 6.1% 3.8% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 9.1% 5.6% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 10.2% 6.3% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 9.2% 5.7% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFCM UngheniVictoria Bardar
Played55
Form53%0%
Attack76%41%
Defense35%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)13 | 2.67 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.220 | 4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

85%
FT probability

3.5+

63%
FT probability

BTTS

90%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric FCM Ungheni Victoria Bardar
HATHAT
Played448448
Wins50%25%38%25%0%13%
Draws25%25%25%0%0%0%
Loses25%50%38%75%100%88%

Form: FCM Ungheni: LWLWLWDD • Victoria Bardar: LWLLLLLL

League goals

Metric FCM Ungheni Victoria Bardar
HATHAT
GF total118198210
GF avg2.82.02.42.00.51.3
GA total8917151227
GA avg2.02.32.13.83.03.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFCM UngheniVictoria Bardar
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%100%75%100%
1.588%75%50%75%
2.550%38%0%75%
3.50%0%0%38%
4.50%0%0%38%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFCM UngheniVictoria Bardar
HATHAT
Clean sheets000000
Failed to score000022

Penalties

MetricFCM UngheniVictoria Bardar
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricFCM UngheniVictoria Bardar
Wins11
Draws00
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-12-32-1—
Biggest losses2-33-22-65-1
Goals For3321
Goals Against3365

Model comparison

MetricFCM UngheniVictoria Bardar
Form100%0%
Att65%35%
Def65%35%
Poisson Distribution87%13%
H2h20%80%
Goals42%58%
Total55.8%44.2%

Advice: Combo Winner : FCM Ungheni and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): FCM Ungheni = 4.49 (league 1.87), Victoria Bardar = 0.62 (league 1.62)

Victoria Bardar
0 1 2 3 4 5
FCM Ungheni 0 0.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 2.7% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 6.1% 3.8% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 9.1% 5.6% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 10.2% 6.3% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 9.2% 5.7% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 65.1% · Draw 3.9% · Away win 1.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1