Fri, Sep 26 2025 • 15:30 • Sardare Azadegan Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.10 (league 1.14) 1.46 (league 0.86)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
28.5% 26.2% 44.9%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.4%
0 - 1
11.3%
1 - 2
9.0%
Score & goals probability table
Esteghlal FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Shams Azar Qazvin 0 7.8% 11.3% 8.2% 4.0% 1.5% 0.4%
1 8.5% 12.4% 9.0% 4.4% 1.6% 0.5%
2 4.7% 6.8% 5.0% 2.4% 0.9% 0.3%
3 1.7% 2.5% 1.8% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.5% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricShams Azar QazvinEsteghlal FC
Played44
Form33%42%
Attack75%75%
Defense25%25%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.56 | 1.5
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.56 | 1.5

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

86%
FT probability

2.5+

60%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Shams Azar Qazvin Esteghlal FC
HATHAT
Played224224
Wins0%0%0%0%50%25%
Draws100%100%100%100%0%50%
Loses0%0%0%0%50%25%

Form: Shams Azar Qazvin: DDDD • Esteghlal FC: WDLD

League goals

Metric Shams Azar Qazvin Esteghlal FC
HATHAT
GF total516516
GF avg2.50.51.52.50.51.5
GA total516516
GA avg2.50.51.52.50.51.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineShams Azar QazvinEsteghlal FC
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%75%75%75%
1.525%25%50%50%
2.525%25%25%25%
3.525%25%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricShams Azar QazvinEsteghlal FC
HATHAT
Clean sheets011011
Failed to score011011

Penalties

MetricShams Azar QazvinEsteghlal FC
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricShams Azar QazvinEsteghlal FC
Wins01
Draws41
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins———0-1
Biggest losses———1-0
Goals For4131
Goals Against4131

Model comparison

MetricShams Azar QazvinEsteghlal FC
Form44%56%
Att50%50%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution45%55%
H2h29%71%
Goals44%56%
Total43.7%56.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Esteghlal FC

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.80 @ 188Bet
Draw3.22 @ Marathonbet
Away2.05 @ William Hill

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.20 @ 188Bet
No1.75 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.30 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.60 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Shams Azar Qazvin = 1.10 (league 1.14), Esteghlal FC = 1.46 (league 0.86)

Esteghlal FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Shams Azar Qazvin 0 7.8% 11.3% 8.2% 4.0% 1.5% 0.4%
1 8.5% 12.4% 9.0% 4.4% 1.6% 0.5%
2 4.7% 6.8% 5.0% 2.4% 0.9% 0.3%
3 1.7% 2.5% 1.8% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.5% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 28.5% · Draw 26.2% · Away win 44.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1