Fri, Sep 26 2025 • 16:30 • VELTINS-Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.26 (league 1.56) 2.58 (league 1.28)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
32.4% 18.4% 41.8%
best score tips
2 - 2
6.7%
1 - 2
6.0%
2 - 3
5.8%
Score & goals probability table
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC Schalke 04 0 0.8% 2.0% 2.6% 2.3% 1.5% 0.8%
1 1.8% 4.6% 6.0% 5.1% 3.3% 1.7%
2 2.0% 5.2% 6.7% 5.8% 3.7% 1.9%
3 1.5% 3.9% 5.1% 4.3% 2.8% 1.4%
4 0.9% 2.2% 2.9% 2.5% 1.6% 0.8%
5 0.4% 1.0% 1.3% 1.1% 0.7% 0.4%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFC Schalke 04SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Played55
Form60%40%
Attack33%67%
Defense80%13%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 110 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.613 | 2.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

75%
FT probability

3.5+

53%
FT probability

BTTS

82%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric FC Schalke 04 SpVgg Greuther Fürth
HATHAT
Played336336
Wins67%67%67%33%67%50%
Draws0%0%0%0%0%0%
Loses33%33%33%67%33%50%

Form: FC Schalke 04: WLWWLW • SpVgg Greuther Fürth: WLLWLW

League goals

Metric FC Schalke 04 SpVgg Greuther Fürth
HATHAT
GF total43731013
GF avg1.31.01.21.03.32.2
GA total3147815
GA avg1.00.30.72.32.72.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFC Schalke 04SpVgg Greuther Fürth
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%67%67%100%
1.550%0%67%83%
2.50%0%50%50%
3.50%0%17%17%
4.50%0%17%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFC Schalke 04SpVgg Greuther Fürth
HATHAT
Clean sheets022000
Failed to score112202

Penalties

MetricFC Schalke 04SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricFC Schalke 04SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Wins21
Draws00
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-23-21-3
Biggest losses0-11-00-33-2
Goals For2235
Goals Against1134

Model comparison

MetricFC Schalke 04SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Form60%40%
Att33%67%
Def81%19%
Poisson Distribution51%49%
H2h15%85%
Goals41%59%
Total46.8%53.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or SpVgg Greuther Fürth

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.81 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.00 @ Bet365
Away4.38 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.67 @ Bet365
No2.31 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.70 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.21 @ Marathonbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): FC Schalke 04 = 2.26 (league 1.56), SpVgg Greuther Fürth = 2.58 (league 1.28)

SpVgg Greuther Fürth
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC Schalke 04 0 0.8% 2.0% 2.6% 2.3% 1.5% 0.8%
1 1.8% 4.6% 6.0% 5.1% 3.3% 1.7%
2 2.0% 5.2% 6.7% 5.8% 3.7% 1.9%
3 1.5% 3.9% 5.1% 4.3% 2.8% 1.4%
4 0.9% 2.2% 2.9% 2.5% 1.6% 0.8%
5 0.4% 1.0% 1.3% 1.1% 0.7% 0.4%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 32.4% · Draw 18.4% · Away win 41.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1