Fri, Sep 26 2025 • 18:00 • Estádio Municipal Dr. Novelli Júnior
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.64 (league 1.65) 0.50 (league 1.32)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
64.7% 23.6% 11.0%
best score tips
1 - 0
19.3%
2 - 0
15.8%
0 - 0
11.8%
Score & goals probability table
Ponte Preta U20
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ituano U20 0 11.8% 5.9% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 19.3% 9.7% 2.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 15.8% 7.9% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 8.6% 4.3% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.5% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricItuano U20Ponte Preta U20
Played55
Form67%53%
Attack100%75%
Defense75%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)14 | 2.86 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.44 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

83%
FT probability

2.5+

58%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Ituano U20 Ponte Preta U20
HATHAT
Played991810818
Wins67%56%61%70%38%56%
Draws22%22%22%10%25%17%
Loses11%22%17%20%38%28%

Form: Ituano U20: WWLWWDDDWWWLWLWWWD • Ponte Preta U20: WLDLLWWWWLWWWLWDWD

League goals

Metric Ituano U20 Ponte Preta U20
HATHAT
GF total27154226935
GF avg3.01.72.32.61.11.9
GA total581313720
GA avg0.60.90.71.30.91.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineItuano U20Ponte Preta U20
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.589%56%83%67%
1.550%17%50%28%
2.533%0%33%6%
3.517%0%17%6%
4.511%0%11%6%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricItuano U20Ponte Preta U20
HATHAT
Clean sheets538336
Failed to score022123

Penalties

MetricItuano U20Ponte Preta U20
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricItuano U20Ponte Preta U20
Wins34
Draws31
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins9-00-45-01-3
Biggest losses1-21-03-52-1
Goals For9453
Goals Against2252

Model comparison

MetricItuano U20Ponte Preta U20
Form56%44%
Att70%30%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution76%24%
H2h80%20%
Goals75%25%
Total70.7%29.3%

Advice: Winner : Ituano U20

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.62 @ William Hill
Draw3.94 @ Marathonbet
Away4.65 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.56 @ Marathonbet
No2.30 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.67 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.30 @ Marathonbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Ituano U20 = 1.64 (league 1.65), Ponte Preta U20 = 0.50 (league 1.32)

Ponte Preta U20
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ituano U20 0 11.8% 5.9% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 19.3% 9.7% 2.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 15.8% 7.9% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 8.6% 4.3% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.5% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 64.7% · Draw 23.6% · Away win 11.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1