Fri, Sep 26 2025 • 18:45 • Bartons North Wales Stadium
Match Finished
1 - 1
Expected Goals
3.76 (league 1.66) 1.22 (league 1.47)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
64.6% 10.0% 7.5%
best score tips
3 - 1
7.4%
4 - 1
7.0%
3 - 0
6.1%
Score & goals probability table
Rhyl
0 1 2 3 4 5
Holywell 0 0.7% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
1 2.6% 3.2% 1.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
2 4.9% 5.9% 3.6% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
3 6.1% 7.4% 4.5% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1%
4 5.7% 7.0% 4.3% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
5 4.3% 5.2% 3.2% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHolywellRhyl
Played55
Form100%47%
Attack100%56%
Defense56%38%
Goals For (tot | avg)21 | 4.29 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.410 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

85%
FT probability

3.5+

61%
FT probability

BTTS

77%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Holywell Rhyl
HATHAT
Played437437
Wins100%100%100%50%33%43%
Draws0%0%0%25%33%29%
Loses0%0%0%25%33%29%

Form: Holywell: WWWWWWW • Rhyl: DWWLWDL

League goals

Metric Holywell Rhyl
HATHAT
GF total196259312
GF avg4.82.03.62.31.01.7
GA total7298412
GA avg1.80.71.32.01.31.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHolywellRhyl
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%86%57%57%
1.586%14%57%57%
2.557%14%43%29%
3.543%14%14%14%
4.529%0%0%14%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHolywellRhyl
HATHAT
Clean sheets011213
Failed to score000123

Penalties

MetricHolywellRhyl
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricHolywellRhyl
Wins72
Draws01
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins8-41-33-02-3
Biggest losses——2-52-0
Goals For8343
Goals Against4152

Model comparison

MetricHolywellRhyl
Form68%32%
Att70%30%
Def59%41%
Poisson Distribution74%26%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total67.8%32.3%

Advice: Combo Winner : Holywell and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.27 @ Bet365
Draw6.91 @ Pinnacle
Away11.10 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.33 @ Bet365
Under 2.53.25 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.68 @ Marathonbet
No2.04 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Holywell = 3.76 (league 1.66), Rhyl = 1.22 (league 1.47)

Rhyl
0 1 2 3 4 5
Holywell 0 0.7% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
1 2.6% 3.2% 1.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
2 4.9% 5.9% 3.6% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
3 6.1% 7.4% 4.5% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1%
4 5.7% 7.0% 4.3% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
5 4.3% 5.2% 3.2% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 64.6% · Draw 10.0% · Away win 7.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1