Liga 1 — Indonesia
Thu, Sep 25 2025 • 12:00 • Stadion Maguwoharjo
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.39 (league 1.44) 1.37 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
37.5% 25.5% 36.4%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.1%
1 - 0
8.8%
0 - 1
8.7%
Score & goals probability table
Persepam Madura Utd
0 1 2 3 4 5
PSBS Biak Numfor 0 6.4% 8.7% 5.9% 2.7% 0.9% 0.3%
1 8.8% 12.1% 8.2% 3.8% 1.3% 0.4%
2 6.1% 8.4% 5.7% 2.6% 0.9% 0.2%
3 2.8% 3.9% 2.7% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
4 1.0% 1.3% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPSBS Biak NumforPersepam Madura Utd
Played55
Form27%33%
Attack46%31%
Defense31%46%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.87 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

78%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric PSBS Biak Numfor Persepam Madura Utd
HATHAT
Played336336
Wins0%33%17%0%33%17%
Draws33%0%17%67%0%33%
Loses67%67%67%33%67%50%

Form: PSBS Biak Numfor: LLDLWL • Persepam Madura Utd: LWDLDL

League goals

Metric PSBS Biak Numfor Persepam Madura Utd
HATHAT
GF total347235
GF avg1.01.31.20.71.00.8
GA total5813369
GA avg1.72.72.21.02.01.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePSBS Biak NumforPersepam Madura Utd
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%100%67%83%
1.533%67%17%33%
2.50%33%0%17%
3.50%17%0%17%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPSBS Biak NumforPersepam Madura Utd
HATHAT
Clean sheets000101
Failed to score101112

Penalties

MetricPSBS Biak NumforPersepam Madura Utd
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricPSBS Biak NumforPersepam Madura Utd
Wins11
Draws11
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—1-2—1-2
Biggest losses1-24-11-24-1
Goals For2212
Goals Against2424

Model comparison

MetricPSBS Biak NumforPersepam Madura Utd
Form44%56%
Att60%40%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution50%50%
H2h80%20%
Goals67%33%
Total57.5%42.5%

Advice: Double chance : PSBS Biak Numfor or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.48 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.40 @ 188Bet
Away2.25 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.06 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.94 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.80 @ William Hill
No2.03 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): PSBS Biak Numfor = 1.39 (league 1.44), Persepam Madura Utd = 1.37 (league 1.24)

Persepam Madura Utd
0 1 2 3 4 5
PSBS Biak Numfor 0 6.4% 8.7% 5.9% 2.7% 0.9% 0.3%
1 8.8% 12.1% 8.2% 3.8% 1.3% 0.4%
2 6.1% 8.4% 5.7% 2.6% 0.9% 0.2%
3 2.8% 3.9% 2.7% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
4 1.0% 1.3% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 37.5% · Draw 25.5% · Away win 36.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1