Coppa Italia — Italy
Thu, Sep 25 2025 • 16:30 • Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris
Match Finished
3 - 1
Expected Goals
1.94 (league 1.55) 0.05 (league 0.68)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
82.7% 15.1% 0.7%
best score tips
1 - 0
26.6%
2 - 0
25.7%
3 - 0
16.6%
Score & goals probability table
Empoli
0 1 2 3 4 5
Genoa 0 13.7% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 26.6% 1.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 25.7% 1.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 16.6% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 8.0% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 3.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGenoaEmpoli
Played11
Form100%33%
Attack20%7%
Defense100%93%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 31 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)0 | 01 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

57%
FT probability

2.5+

40%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Genoa Empoli
HATHAT
Played101101
Wins100%—100%0%—0%
Draws0%—0%100%—100%
Loses0%—0%0%—0%

Form: Genoa: W • Empoli: D

League goals

Metric Genoa Empoli
HATHAT
GF total303101
GF avg3.00.03.01.00.01.0
GA total000101
GA avg0.00.00.01.00.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGenoaEmpoli
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%0%100%100%
1.5100%0%0%0%
2.5100%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGenoaEmpoli
HATHAT
Clean sheets101000
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricGenoaEmpoli
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricGenoaEmpoli
Wins10
Draws01
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-0———
Biggest losses————
Goals For3010
Goals Against0010

Model comparison

MetricGenoaEmpoli
Form75%25%
Att75%25%
Def100%0%
Poisson Distribution0%0%
H2h64%36%
Goals57%43%
Total67.8%32.3%

Advice: Winner : Genoa

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.48 @ Bet365
Draw4.40 @ Pinnacle
Away9.32 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.51 @ Pinnacle
No1.62 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.19 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.73 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Genoa = 1.94 (league 1.55), Empoli = 0.05 (league 0.68)

Empoli
0 1 2 3 4 5
Genoa 0 13.7% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 26.6% 1.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 25.7% 1.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 16.6% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 8.0% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 3.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 82.7% · Draw 15.1% · Away win 0.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1