Thu, Sep 25 2025 • 18:00 • Estadio Adolfo Rollemberg
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.24 (league 1.79) 0.05 (league 1.03)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
85.5% 11.3% 0.6%
best score tips
2 - 0
25.4%
1 - 0
22.7%
3 - 0
19.0%
Score & goals probability table
Independente Simão Dias
0 1 2 3 4 5
Flamengo SE 0 10.2% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 22.7% 1.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 25.4% 1.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 19.0% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 10.6% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 4.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFlamengo SEIndependente Simão Dias
Played22
Form50%0%
Attack13%0%
Defense88%75%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 10 | 0
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 14 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

57%
FT probability

2.5+

40%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

48%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Flamengo SE Independente Simão Dias
HATHAT
Played112112
Wins100%0%50%0%0%0%
Draws0%0%0%0%0%0%
Loses0%100%50%100%100%100%

Form: Flamengo SE: WL • Independente Simão Dias: LL

League goals

Metric Flamengo SE Independente Simão Dias
HATHAT
GF total202000
GF avg2.00.01.00.00.00.0
GA total022224
GA avg0.02.01.02.02.02.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFlamengo SEIndependente Simão Dias
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%50%0%100%
1.550%50%0%100%
2.50%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFlamengo SEIndependente Simão Dias
HATHAT
Clean sheets101000
Failed to score011112

Penalties

MetricFlamengo SEIndependente Simão Dias
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricFlamengo SEIndependente Simão Dias
Wins10
Draws00
Losses02

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-0
Biggest losses2-00-22-0
Goals For2000
Goals Against0222

Model comparison

MetricFlamengo SEIndependente Simão Dias
Form100%0%
Att100%0%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h0%100%
Goals0%100%
Total67.0%33.0%

Advice: Winner : Flamengo SE

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.30 @ Bet365
Draw5.50 @ William Hill
Away11.30 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.07 @ Marathonbet
No1.70 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.65 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.20 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Flamengo SE = 2.24 (league 1.79), Independente Simão Dias = 0.05 (league 1.03)

Independente Simão Dias
0 1 2 3 4 5
Flamengo SE 0 10.2% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 22.7% 1.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 25.4% 1.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 19.0% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 10.6% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 4.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 85.5% · Draw 11.3% · Away win 0.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1