Wed, Sep 24 2025 • 13:00 • Stadio Francesco Baracca
Match Finished
1 - 1
Expected Goals
2.34 (league 1.28) 1.79 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
47.4% 19.7% 28.8%
best score tips
2 - 1
7.9%
2 - 2
7.1%
1 - 1
6.8%
Score & goals probability table
Este
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mestre 0 1.6% 2.9% 2.6% 1.5% 0.7% 0.2%
1 3.8% 6.8% 6.0% 3.6% 1.6% 0.6%
2 4.4% 7.9% 7.1% 4.2% 1.9% 0.7%
3 3.4% 6.2% 5.5% 3.3% 1.5% 0.5%
4 2.0% 3.6% 3.2% 1.9% 0.9% 0.3%
5 0.9% 1.7% 1.5% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMestreEste
Played33
Form78%78%
Attack50%75%
Defense75%75%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 1.36 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.72 | 0.7

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

80%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Mestre Este
HATHAT
Played213213
Wins50%100%67%100%0%67%
Draws50%0%33%0%100%33%
Loses0%0%0%0%0%0%

Form: Mestre: DWW • Este: WDW

League goals

Metric Mestre Este
HATHAT
GF total314426
GF avg1.51.01.32.02.02.0
GA total202022
GA avg1.00.00.70.02.00.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMestreEste
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%33%100%33%
1.533%33%67%33%
2.50%0%33%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMestreEste
HATHAT
Clean sheets112202
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricMestreEste
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricMestreEste
Wins01
Draws11
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-00-13-0—
Biggest losses————
Goals For2132
Goals Against2002

Model comparison

MetricMestreEste
Form50%50%
Att40%60%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution60%40%
H2h29%71%
Goals42%58%
Total45.2%54.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Este

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.21 @ SBO
Draw3.15 @ Superbet
Away3.40 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.35 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.66 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.02 @ Superbet
No1.78 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Mestre = 2.34 (league 1.28), Este = 1.79 (league 1.12)

Este
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mestre 0 1.6% 2.9% 2.6% 1.5% 0.7% 0.2%
1 3.8% 6.8% 6.0% 3.6% 1.6% 0.6%
2 4.4% 7.9% 7.1% 4.2% 1.9% 0.7%
3 3.4% 6.2% 5.5% 3.3% 1.5% 0.5%
4 2.0% 3.6% 3.2% 1.9% 0.9% 0.3%
5 0.9% 1.7% 1.5% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 47.4% · Draw 19.7% · Away win 28.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1