Wed, Sep 24 2025 • 13:00 •
Stadio Anco Marzio
Expected Goals
1.53 (league 1.31)
0.85 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 52.8% | 25.9% | 20.8% |
best score tips
1 - 0
14.2%
1 - 1
12.0%
2 - 0
10.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Vigor Senigallia | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ostia Mare | 0 | 9.3% | 7.9% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 14.2% | 12.0% | 5.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 10.8% | 9.2% | 3.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 5.5% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Ostia Mare | Vigor Senigallia |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 3 | 3 |
| Form | 100% | 44% |
| Attack | 26% | 11% |
| Defense | 89% | 84% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1.7 | 2 | 0.7 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.7 | 3 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
58%
FT probability
2.5+
41%
FT probability
3.5+
29%
FT probability
BTTS
68%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Ostia Mare | Vigor Senigallia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Wins | 100% | 100% | 100% | 0% | 100% | 33% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 50% | 0% | 33% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 50% | 0% | 33% |
Form: Ostia Mare: WWW • Vigor Senigallia: WDL
League goals
| Metric | Ostia Mare | Vigor Senigallia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1.7 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.7 |
| GA total | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Ostia Mare | Vigor Senigallia | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 67% | 67% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 67% | 0% | 0% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Ostia Mare | Vigor Senigallia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Ostia Mare | Vigor Senigallia |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Ostia Mare | Vigor Senigallia |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 0 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 1-2 | — | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | — | — | 0-2 | — |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Ostia Mare | Vigor Senigallia |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 69% | 31% |
| Att | 71% | 29% |
| Def | 60% | 40% |
| Poisson Distribution | 0% | 100% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 66.7% | 33.3% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Ostia Mare or draw and -3.5 goals
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Ostia Mare = 1.53 (league 1.31), Vigor Senigallia = 0.85 (league 1.18)
| Vigor Senigallia | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ostia Mare | 0 | 9.3% | 7.9% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 14.2% | 12.0% | 5.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 10.8% | 9.2% | 3.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 5.5% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 52.8% · Draw 25.9% · Away win 20.8%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1