Wed, Sep 24 2025 • 18:45 • Stadio Comunale Donato Curcio
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.67 (league 1.56) 3.12 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
4.9% 10.1% 75.3%
best score tips
0 - 3
11.4%
0 - 2
11.0%
0 - 4
8.9%
Score & goals probability table
Benevento
0 1 2 3 4 5
AZ Picerno 0 2.3% 7.0% 11.0% 11.4% 8.9% 5.6%
1 1.5% 4.7% 7.4% 7.7% 6.0% 3.7%
2 0.5% 1.6% 2.5% 2.6% 2.0% 1.3%
3 0.1% 0.4% 0.6% 0.6% 0.4% 0.3%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAZ PicernoBenevento
Played55
Form33%80%
Attack58%75%
Defense25%75%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.49 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.83 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

82%
FT probability

2.5+

58%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

77%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric AZ Picerno Benevento
HATHAT
Played235235
Wins0%33%20%100%67%80%
Draws50%33%40%0%0%0%
Loses50%33%40%0%33%20%

Form: AZ Picerno: DDWLL • Benevento: WWLWW

League goals

Metric AZ Picerno Benevento
HATHAT
GF total347459
GF avg1.51.31.42.01.71.8
GA total459123
GA avg2.01.71.80.50.70.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAZ PicernoBenevento
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%100%80%60%
1.560%80%80%0%
2.50%0%20%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAZ PicernoBenevento
HATHAT
Clean sheets000112
Failed to score011011

Penalties

MetricAZ PicernoBenevento
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricAZ PicernoBenevento
Wins12
Draws20
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—1-22-00-3
Biggest losses1-22-0—1-0
Goals For2223
Goals Against2211

Model comparison

MetricAZ PicernoBenevento
Form29%71%
Att44%56%
Def25%75%
Poisson Distribution15%85%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total35.5%64.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Benevento

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.88 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.74 @ Pinnacle
Away1.76 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.00 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.92 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.91 @ Bet365
No1.95 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): AZ Picerno = 0.67 (league 1.56), Benevento = 3.12 (league 1.09)

Benevento
0 1 2 3 4 5
AZ Picerno 0 2.3% 7.0% 11.0% 11.4% 8.9% 5.6%
1 1.5% 4.7% 7.4% 7.7% 6.0% 3.7%
2 0.5% 1.6% 2.5% 2.6% 2.0% 1.3%
3 0.1% 0.4% 0.6% 0.6% 0.4% 0.3%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 4.9% · Draw 10.1% · Away win 75.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1