Wed, Sep 24 2025 • 21:00 • Estadio Rafael Bolaños
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.23 (league 1.63) 0.56 (league 0.89)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
52.5% 30.4% 16.9%
best score tips
1 - 0
20.6%
0 - 0
16.8%
2 - 0
12.6%
Score & goals probability table
Cariari Pococi
0 1 2 3 4 5
AD Carmelita 0 16.8% 9.4% 2.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 20.6% 11.5% 3.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 12.6% 7.0% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 5.2% 2.9% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAD CarmelitaCariari Pococi
Played22
Form67%50%
Attack14%10%
Defense95%95%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 1.52 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 0.51 | 0.5

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

46%
FT probability

2.5+

33%
FT probability

3.5+

23%
FT probability

BTTS

52%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric AD Carmelita Cariari Pococi
HATHAT
Played112112
Wins100%0%50%100%0%50%
Draws0%100%50%0%0%0%
Loses0%0%0%0%100%50%

Form: AD Carmelita: DW • Cariari Pococi: LW

League goals

Metric AD Carmelita Cariari Pococi
HATHAT
GF total213202
GF avg2.01.01.52.00.01.0
GA total011011
GA avg0.01.00.50.01.00.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAD CarmelitaCariari Pococi
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%50%50%50%
1.550%0%50%0%
2.50%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAD CarmelitaCariari Pococi
HATHAT
Clean sheets101101
Failed to score000011

Penalties

MetricAD CarmelitaCariari Pococi
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricAD CarmelitaCariari Pococi
Wins00
Draws10
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-0—2-0—
Biggest losses———1-0
Goals For2120
Goals Against0101

Model comparison

MetricAD CarmelitaCariari Pococi
Form57%43%
Att60%40%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h38%62%
Goals44%56%
Total49.8%50.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : AD Carmelita or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.45 @ 1xBet
Draw3.85 @ Unibet
Away2.90 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.89 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.52.38 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.70 @ Marathonbet
No2.43 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): AD Carmelita = 1.23 (league 1.63), Cariari Pococi = 0.56 (league 0.89)

Cariari Pococi
0 1 2 3 4 5
AD Carmelita 0 16.8% 9.4% 2.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 20.6% 11.5% 3.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 12.6% 7.0% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 5.2% 2.9% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 52.5% · Draw 30.4% · Away win 16.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1